Thursday, June 20, 2013
Welcome to Russia’s Syria doublespeak
Anna Neistat
"While world leaders managed to produce a joint communique on Syria at the end of the G8 summit, the closing media remarks made it clear that Vladimir Putin hasn’t actually moved an inch on the issue. The Russian president once again lashed out at the European Union and the United States for considering arms shipments to the Syrian opposition, suggesting it will further destabilize Syria. At the same time, he made it clear that Russia will continue supplying a range of weapons to the Syrian government, arguing that this will help stabilize the region while preventing a foreign intervention.
Welcome to Russian doublespeak......"
Jon Stewart in Cairo for Bassem Youssef's El-Bernameg
US satirist Jon Stewart to appear on Friday's episode of Bassem Youssef's El-Bernameg, Egypt's most popular satirical show
Ahram Online
"US satirist Jon Stewart arrived in Cairo on Wednesday for a three-day visit, DPA news agency has reported.
Youssef's weekly show, which is modeled on Stewart's The Daily Show, has been a smash hit with 30 million Egyptian viewers.Stewart will make a guest appearance on Bassem Youssef’s popular satirical show, El-Bernameg.
Often called Egypt's Jon Stewart, Youssef appeared twice on The Daily Show, in June 2012 and April 2013.
Stewart devoted a segment of the show in April to defending Youssef after the latter's arrest for allegedly insulting President Morsi and Islam. Stewart mocked President Morsi for clamping down on freedom of speech while failing to address the country's serious problems.
The 39-year-old Egyptian was included in Time magazine's 2013 list of the world's 100 most influential people.
Youssef's entry on the list was written by Stewart who described the Egyptian as his hero [He is my hero, too!]."
Ahram Online
"US satirist Jon Stewart arrived in Cairo on Wednesday for a three-day visit, DPA news agency has reported.
Youssef's weekly show, which is modeled on Stewart's The Daily Show, has been a smash hit with 30 million Egyptian viewers.Stewart will make a guest appearance on Bassem Youssef’s popular satirical show, El-Bernameg.
Often called Egypt's Jon Stewart, Youssef appeared twice on The Daily Show, in June 2012 and April 2013.
Stewart devoted a segment of the show in April to defending Youssef after the latter's arrest for allegedly insulting President Morsi and Islam. Stewart mocked President Morsi for clamping down on freedom of speech while failing to address the country's serious problems.
The 39-year-old Egyptian was included in Time magazine's 2013 list of the world's 100 most influential people.
Youssef's entry on the list was written by Stewart who described the Egyptian as his hero [He is my hero, too!]."
Syrian rebels get first heavy weapons on the front line of Aleppo
The First new heavy weapons have arrived on Syria’s front lines following President Barack Obama’s decision to put Western military might behind the official opposition, rebels have told The Daily Telegraph.
"Rebel sources said Russian-made “Konkurs” anti-tank missiles had been
supplied by America’s key Gulf ally, Saudi Arabia. They have already been used
to destructive effect and may have held up a promised regime assault on Aleppo.
A handful of the missiles were already in use and in high demand after opposition forces looted them from captured regime bases.
More have now arrived, confirming reports that the White House has lifted an unofficial embargo on its Gulf allies sending heavy weapons to the rebels.
Last week, the White House said it would send military support to Syria’s opposition after concluding that President Bashar al-Assad’s regime had used chemical agents against them.
Unlike rocket-propelled grenades, the Konkurs – Contest in English – can
penetrate the regime’s most advanced tanks, Russian-made T72s.
“We now have supplies from Saudi Arabia,” a rebel source said. “We have been told more weapons are on their way, even higher-end missiles.” ....
On Syria’s front lines, rebels are already using Russian missiles to destroy the regime’s Russian tanks......
But the number of Konkurs missiles seen in videos escalated at the beginning of this month, tangible evidence of the new Saudi supply line.
In the hills above the Syrian village of Kafra Hamra, north of Aleppo, The Daily Telegraph found rebels talking almost lovingly of the Konkurs as they kept watch on the regime’s tanks 800 yards away.
“We have one or two left but my unit has run out already,” said Abdullah Da’ass, a burly, bearded fighter with the Free Men of Syria brigade. “We were given five. We fired four, and took out four regime tanks, and one was a dud.”......."
“We now have supplies from Saudi Arabia,” a rebel source said. “We have been told more weapons are on their way, even higher-end missiles.” ....
On Syria’s front lines, rebels are already using Russian missiles to destroy the regime’s Russian tanks......
But the number of Konkurs missiles seen in videos escalated at the beginning of this month, tangible evidence of the new Saudi supply line.
In the hills above the Syrian village of Kafra Hamra, north of Aleppo, The Daily Telegraph found rebels talking almost lovingly of the Konkurs as they kept watch on the regime’s tanks 800 yards away.
“We have one or two left but my unit has run out already,” said Abdullah Da’ass, a burly, bearded fighter with the Free Men of Syria brigade. “We were given five. We fired four, and took out four regime tanks, and one was a dud.”......."
Syrian tank blown apart by missile
A video has been posted online which purports to show a tank being blown apart by Konkurs anti-tank missile fired by members of the Free Syrian Army.
"Rebels have discovered the value of anti-tank missiles after seizing
Russian-made Konkurs weapons from regime bases and turning them against their
previous owners....."
Real News Video: US Claims of Chemical Weapons Use By Syria A Pretext for Arming Rebels
Pt 1. Omar Dahi: Despite escalating humanitarian catastrophe, G8 summit failed to advance diplomatic settlement
Artists versus Islamists in Egypt's culture war
Battle
raises questions about art and the state
By Brian Whitaker
"In a dictatorship," the Sudanese-born intellectual Abdel-Wahab al-Effendi once remarked, "the role of the minister of culture isn't to protect culture, but to stifle culture and to protect the regime".....
By Brian Whitaker
"In a dictatorship," the Sudanese-born intellectual Abdel-Wahab al-Effendi once remarked, "the role of the minister of culture isn't to protect culture, but to stifle culture and to protect the regime".....
"Doing nothing" is definitely not a charge that can be
levelled against Alaa Abdel-Aziz, the new (Islamist) culture minister. Since
taking office last month he has already dismissed the heads of the General
Egyptian Book Organisation, the Fine Arts Sector, the Cairo Opera House, and the
National Library and Archives.
Amid fears that Abdel-Aziz is on a mission to "Islamise"
Egyptian culture, many of the artistic community – al-muthaqafeen. as
they are known –- have mobilised to oppose him. The Guardian reports:
"As the curtain rose for the evening performance at Cairo Opera House, the cast did not assemble for the opening prelude of Giuseppe Verdi's Aida as they had on previous nights."Instead, more than 300 actors, dancers and theatre staff filled the stage, wearing full costume and clutching protest signs. Addressing the audience, conductor Nayer Nagi announced: 'In a stand against a detailed plan to destroy culture and fine arts in Egypt we abstain from performing tonight's opera'."
Since then, protests have continued outside the culture
ministry building in Zamalek – some of them in the form or music or
dance.
New minister Alaa Abdel-Aziz
At a meeting on Sunday, members of the Supreme Council for
Culture (SCC) announced that they do not recognise Abdel-Aziz's appointment and
regard his decisions as "invalid". There were also calls to make the SCC an
independent body. Ahram Online explains......."
Palestinian children tortured, used as shields by Israel: U.N.
"(Reuters) - A United Nations human rights body accused Israeli forces on Thursday of mistreating Palestinian children, including by torturing those in custody and using others as human shields.
Palestinian children in the Gaza and the West Bank, captured by Israel in the 1967 war, are routinely denied registration of their birth and access to health care, decent schools and clean water, the U.N. Committee on the Rights of the Child said.
"Palestinian children arrested by (Israeli) military and police are systematically subject to degrading treatment, and often to acts of torture, are interrogated in Hebrew, a language they did not understand, and sign confessions in Hebrew in order to be released," it said in a report......"
Lebanese president urges Hezbollah to pull out of Syria
"(Reuters) - President Michel Suleiman has called on the Lebanese Shi'ite Muslim Hezbollah movement to pull its guerrillas out of Syria, saying any further involvement in its neighbor's civil war would fuel instability in Lebanon.
Hezbollah militants spearheaded the recapture of the strategic border town of Qusair two weeks ago by forces loyal to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, which now appear to be preparing for an offensive in the northern city of Aleppo.
"If they take part in a battle for Aleppo, and more Hezbollah fighters are killed, it will lead to more tension," Suleiman told the Lebanese newspaper As-Safir in an interview published on Thursday. "This should end in Qusair, and (Hezbollah) should return home."
Hezbollah's intervention in Syria against mainly Sunni Muslim rebels has further inflamed sectarian rivalry in Lebanon, where fighting between Alawite pro-Assad and Sunni Muslim anti-Assad gunmen in the northern city of Tripoli has killed dozens.
Since the battle for Qusair started a month ago there have been frequent rocket attacks on Shi'ite areas of eastern Lebanon from suspected rebel-held areas in Syria. A previously unknown Syrian rebel faction claimed responsibility this week for killing four Shi'ite men in the Bekaa Valley on Sunday.
Lebanon is mired in political paralysis which has forced the delay of a parliamentary election and is holding up efforts to form a cabinet. The impasse, along with the influx of half a million Syrian refugees, led former Prime Minister Fouad Siniora to appeal to Suleiman this week to act to stop "state collapse".
STAY AWAY FROM GOLAN
Suleiman, a Maronite Christian, has become increasingly assertive in criticizing Syria, which dominated its smaller neighbor militarily and politically for three decades before the outbreak of the uprising against Assad in 2011.
Lebanon's National News Agency said Suleiman sent the Arab League a memorandum on Thursday requesting an end to Syrian violations of Lebanese sovereignty. He gave a similar note to the United Nations representative in Beirut earlier this week.
Suleiman has spoken out against Syrian military incursions into eastern Lebanon against rebel forces, and become more open in his criticism of Hezbollah's military support for Assad...."
Syria crisis: Unesco puts six world heritage sites on endangered list
Sites include the ancient cities of Aleppo and Damascus
Matthew Weaver
guardian.co.uk,
Matthew Weaver
guardian.co.uk,
The UN's cultural organisation has placed six world heritage sites in Syria on an endangered list because of the continued violence in the country. The sites include the cities of Aleppo and Damascus, the Roman ruins at Palmyra and the crusader castles of Crac des Chevaliers and Qal'at Salah el-Din. In a statement Unesco said: "The danger listing is intended to mobilise all possible support for the safeguarding of these properties which are recognised by the international community as being of outstanding universal value for humanity as a whole."....."
Men built X-ray gun to shoot Israel opponents – FBI
Industrial mechanic and engineer were caught in sting after tip-off from Ku Klux Klan, investigators say as duo are charged
guardian.co.uk,
An indictment charges 49-year-old Glendon Scott Crawford and 54-year-old Eric J Feight with conspiracy to provide support to terrorists with the weapon.
Investigators have said Crawford approached Jewish organisations in 2012 looking for funding and people to help him with technology that could be used to surreptitiously deliver damaging and even lethal doses of radiation against those he considered enemies of Israel. He and Feight assembled the mobile device, which was to be controlled remotely, but it was inoperable and nobody was hurt, authorities said.
"Crawford has specifically identified Muslims and several other individuals/groups as targets," investigator Geoffrey Kent said in a court affidavit. According to the indictment Crawford also travelled to North Carolina in October to solicit money for the weapon from a ranking member of the Ku Klux Klan, who informed the FBI. Crawford claimed to be a member.
The men appeared separately on Wednesday in federal court and were ordered detained until detention hearings Thursday. They could face up to 15 years in prison.
The damaging effects of the radiation would have appeared only days later, authorities said....."
guardian.co.uk,
The FBI has charged two men with making a portable X-ray weapon that they intended to use to secretly sicken opponents of Israel.
An indictment charges 49-year-old Glendon Scott Crawford and 54-year-old Eric J Feight with conspiracy to provide support to terrorists with the weapon.
Investigators have said Crawford approached Jewish organisations in 2012 looking for funding and people to help him with technology that could be used to surreptitiously deliver damaging and even lethal doses of radiation against those he considered enemies of Israel. He and Feight assembled the mobile device, which was to be controlled remotely, but it was inoperable and nobody was hurt, authorities said.
"Crawford has specifically identified Muslims and several other individuals/groups as targets," investigator Geoffrey Kent said in a court affidavit. According to the indictment Crawford also travelled to North Carolina in October to solicit money for the weapon from a ranking member of the Ku Klux Klan, who informed the FBI. Crawford claimed to be a member.
The men appeared separately on Wednesday in federal court and were ordered detained until detention hearings Thursday. They could face up to 15 years in prison.
The damaging effects of the radiation would have appeared only days later, authorities said....."
Wednesday, June 19, 2013
Hamas says its Iran ties worsen over Syrian civil war
"(Reuters) - Hamas said on Wednesday its relations with financial backer Iran have suffered as a result of the Islamist group's support of rebels battling Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, a long-time Iranian ally.
Hamas was also once an Assad ally but last year endorsed the revolt against him in a shift that deprived the Syrian leader of an important Sunni Muslim supporter in the Arab world.
"Our relations with Iran were affected both on the political and the financial levels," said Ghazi Hamad, deputy minister of foreign affairs in the Hamas-run government in the Gaza Strip.
Hamad declined to provide any figures for the amount of aid Hamas receives from Iran or give details of any cutbacks, other than to say "it did not get to the point of boycott (from Tehran)".
"We have stood by the Syrian people and we have backed the demands of the revolution," Hamad told reporters, saying those positions had led to a worsening of ties with Tehran.
A diplomatic source in the region said Iran has provided Hamas with up to $20 million a month to help pay the salaries of nearly half of 50,000 Gaza government employees.
Hamad said Hamas was still meeting its payroll and "had lots of other sources" for money. But he added: "Things are not easy ... and we are trying to overcome the problem."
Iran has also provided Hamas with weapons, including long-range rockets that it has used to strike cities deep inside Israel.
Hamad made no mention of any change in Iranian arms supplies to the group, which is boycotted by the West over its refusal to renounce violence, recognize Israel and accept existing Israeli-Palestinian interim peace deals.
On Monday, Hamas urged the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah to withdraw its forces from Syria, where they are battling on Assad's behalf.
The call marked a further deterioration in relations between Hamas and Hezbollah, two long-time allies who have each fought against Israel and advocate its destruction.
"We are with Hezbollah in their resistance against Israel but we are not in favor of their position in Syria," Hamad said."
Mass Protests Sweep Brazil in Uproar over Public Services Cuts & High Costs of World Cup, Olympics
Democracy Now!
"Brazil is witnessing some of its largest protests in decades, after some 240,000 people protested Monday. Tens of thousands continue to take the streets. The demonstrations were initially sparked by an increase in bus fares in São Paulo, but the uprising soon spiraled nationwide amid outrage over government corruption, inequality, failing public services and police brutality against demonstrators. Protesters have also condemned the high level of government spending on the 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Summer Olympics. We’re joined from São Paulo by Lucia Nader, executive director of the Brazil-based human rights organization Conectas and a participant in the protests...."
"Brazil is witnessing some of its largest protests in decades, after some 240,000 people protested Monday. Tens of thousands continue to take the streets. The demonstrations were initially sparked by an increase in bus fares in São Paulo, but the uprising soon spiraled nationwide amid outrage over government corruption, inequality, failing public services and police brutality against demonstrators. Protesters have also condemned the high level of government spending on the 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Summer Olympics. We’re joined from São Paulo by Lucia Nader, executive director of the Brazil-based human rights organization Conectas and a participant in the protests...."
Support for Egypt Brotherhood and Morsi dwindling: ZRS
According to Zogby Research Services (ZRS) poll, 94% of Egyptians express confidence in army, compared to 28% in President Morsi and 26% in Brotherhood
Ahram Online
"Zogby Research Services (ZRS) has released a poll assessing President Morsi's popularity one year after his inauguration, finding a drop in popularity from 57% to 28% over the course of the year.
The survey sample consisted of 5,029 Egyptian adults nationwide and was conducted from 4 April to 12 May 2013, ZRS explained.The Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party, which garnered 47% of total parliamentary seats in 2011, currently holds a popularity rate of 26%, the poll’s findings suggest.
In a survey conducted one year ago by the same institute, 57% of Egyptians said Morsi’s victory was either “a positive development” or “the result of a democratic election and the results need to be respected,” in comparison to only 28% this year......"
Ahram Online
"Zogby Research Services (ZRS) has released a poll assessing President Morsi's popularity one year after his inauguration, finding a drop in popularity from 57% to 28% over the course of the year.
The survey sample consisted of 5,029 Egyptian adults nationwide and was conducted from 4 April to 12 May 2013, ZRS explained.The Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party, which garnered 47% of total parliamentary seats in 2011, currently holds a popularity rate of 26%, the poll’s findings suggest.
In a survey conducted one year ago by the same institute, 57% of Egyptians said Morsi’s victory was either “a positive development” or “the result of a democratic election and the results need to be respected,” in comparison to only 28% this year......"
Al-Jazeera Video: في العمق - مستقبل حزب الله بعد تدخله بسوريا
"تناقش الحلقة مستقبل حزب الله بعد تدخله بسوريا، ما أسباب تدخل حزب الله في سوريا؟ وما أثر مشاركته العسكرية على الثورة السورية وداخل لبنان؟ ما طبيعة العلاقة بين حزب الله وإيران؟ وكيف يبدو مستقبل الحزب السياسي والعسكري في ضوء هذه التطورات؟"
Real News Video: Hundreds of Thousands of Brazilians Protest Countrys' Harsh Inequities
Protest against bus fare increase sparked nationwide protest movement demanding systemic change
Viral Video Of Brazil Protests Will Give You Goosebumps
No Olho Do Furacão (In The Eye Of The Storm)
Egypt tourism minister resigns over Luxor governor's terror links
Hisham Zaazou quits after Morsi administration appoints Islamist associated with group that killed scores of tourists in 1997
Patrick Kingsley in Mansoura
guardian.co.uk,
The appointment of Khayat, who denies personal involvement in the attack, has enraged not just Zaazou, but the tourism industry in Luxor, which fears the symbolism of the appointment will put off potential visitors.
The city is home to some of the country's most famous pharaonic ruins, and derives most of its income from tourism. But tourism has already fallen dramatically since Egypt's uprising in 2011, and locals fear any reminder of the 1997 attacks will further deter tourists.
One of 17 governors appointed this week. Khayat was not the only appointee to have been greeted with outrage. One new governor was allegedly forced to go to work disguised in a niqab while another was hit by a shoe as protesters in at least eight provinces demonstrated against President Mohamed Morsi's controversial inclusion of several Islamists among the new crop of state administrators.
Protesters are furious at Morsi's decision to increase the bureaucratic influence of the Muslim Brotherhood, whose allies now control 11 of Egypt's 27 states. This comes at a time when they feel he should be trying to reach out to non-Islamist sections of society.
Egypt is more polarised than at any point since 2011. Recent polls suggest Morsi's popularity has halved since his election a year ago,while opposition activists claim to have secured 15 million signatures on a petition calling on him to resign.
"Each day, more and more Egyptians are losing faith in the Brotherhood," said Doaa Khalifa, a leading opposition activist in Mansoura, a northern city where protesters padlocked state administrators inside their offices on Tuesday, and where one local official alleged the new Brotherhood governor had been forced to go to work hidden under a niqab.
"Before, they gave them the benefit of the doubt," added Khalifa, the local co-ordinator for the Tamarod campaign, the grassroots initiative that claims to have gathered 15 million signatures calling for Morsi to go. "Now, they think everyone who has a beard is a liar."
Fighting broke out between activists and Brotherhood members in Tanta, Egypt's fifth-largest city, where the new Brotherhood governor was attacked with a shoe. Protesters later set fire to the Brotherhood's local headquarters.
Fury at Morsi has far deeper roots, however, than just his recent appointments. Living conditions have significantly worsened in recent months, with food prices rising sharply, power cuts occurring on a daily basis, and fuel scarce. In Mansoura on Tuesday, petrol station queues stretched for close to a mile. "Morsi is ruining the country," argued one driver, Yasser Abdel Samir.
"Look at this petrol queue. That's because of him. There's no water; there's no electricity; salaries are low; food prices are high. He's going down on the 30th," added Abdel Samir, referring to planned protests against Morsi's regime on 30 June, the first anniversary of his election......."
Patrick Kingsley in Mansoura
guardian.co.uk,
Egypt's tourism minister has resigned in protest over the appointment as Luxor governor of a member of a hardline Islamist group associated with terrorists who killed at least 58 tourists in 1997.
Hisham Zaazou, whose resignation has not yet been accepted by Egypt's prime minister, opposes the appointment on Sunday of Adel el-Khayat, a member of Gamaa Islamiya – a group whose associates carried out the massacre.The appointment of Khayat, who denies personal involvement in the attack, has enraged not just Zaazou, but the tourism industry in Luxor, which fears the symbolism of the appointment will put off potential visitors.
The city is home to some of the country's most famous pharaonic ruins, and derives most of its income from tourism. But tourism has already fallen dramatically since Egypt's uprising in 2011, and locals fear any reminder of the 1997 attacks will further deter tourists.
One of 17 governors appointed this week. Khayat was not the only appointee to have been greeted with outrage. One new governor was allegedly forced to go to work disguised in a niqab while another was hit by a shoe as protesters in at least eight provinces demonstrated against President Mohamed Morsi's controversial inclusion of several Islamists among the new crop of state administrators.
Protesters are furious at Morsi's decision to increase the bureaucratic influence of the Muslim Brotherhood, whose allies now control 11 of Egypt's 27 states. This comes at a time when they feel he should be trying to reach out to non-Islamist sections of society.
Egypt is more polarised than at any point since 2011. Recent polls suggest Morsi's popularity has halved since his election a year ago,while opposition activists claim to have secured 15 million signatures on a petition calling on him to resign.
"Each day, more and more Egyptians are losing faith in the Brotherhood," said Doaa Khalifa, a leading opposition activist in Mansoura, a northern city where protesters padlocked state administrators inside their offices on Tuesday, and where one local official alleged the new Brotherhood governor had been forced to go to work hidden under a niqab.
"Before, they gave them the benefit of the doubt," added Khalifa, the local co-ordinator for the Tamarod campaign, the grassroots initiative that claims to have gathered 15 million signatures calling for Morsi to go. "Now, they think everyone who has a beard is a liar."
Fighting broke out between activists and Brotherhood members in Tanta, Egypt's fifth-largest city, where the new Brotherhood governor was attacked with a shoe. Protesters later set fire to the Brotherhood's local headquarters.
Fury at Morsi has far deeper roots, however, than just his recent appointments. Living conditions have significantly worsened in recent months, with food prices rising sharply, power cuts occurring on a daily basis, and fuel scarce. In Mansoura on Tuesday, petrol station queues stretched for close to a mile. "Morsi is ruining the country," argued one driver, Yasser Abdel Samir.
"Look at this petrol queue. That's because of him. There's no water; there's no electricity; salaries are low; food prices are high. He's going down on the 30th," added Abdel Samir, referring to planned protests against Morsi's regime on 30 June, the first anniversary of his election......."
Current Al-Jazeera (Arabic) Online Poll
Do you support accusations by the West that the Syrian regime has used chemical weapons?
So far, 83% have voted yes.
Al-Jazeera Video: ما وراء الخبر - لبنان والحرب السورية
"تناقش الحلقة تداعيات الأزمة السورية وأثرها على لبنان، إثر مطالبات فؤاد السنيورة بتدخل الحكومة ورئيس الجمهورية ومطالبة حزب الله بالانسحاب من سوريا."
Egypt tourism minister resigns over 'ex-militant' Luxor governor
Hisham Zaazou resigns as tourism minister over appointment of Al-Gamaa Al-Islamiya's Adel El-Khayat as governor of Luxor
Ahram Online
(Please see article by Brian Whitaker, 4 posts below)

"Tourism Minister Hisham Zaazou has resigned in protest at the appointment of an ultimate-conservative Islamist as governor of Luxor.
Prime Minister Hisham Qandil asked Zaazou to continue in his job but he refused, Azazi added."Hisham Zaazou insists on his departure, and I have not denied it as was reported by some websites," ministerial spokesperson Rasha Azazi told Ahram Online.
On Tuesday, Zaazou met with PM Qandil to discuss his concerns about the appointment of Adel El-Khayat, a member of Al-Gamaa Al-Islamiya, as governor of Luxor. Zaazou tendered his resignation hours after the meeting.
Zaazou, a technocrat and political independent, was appointed tourism minister in August 2012. He was previously assistant to former tourism minister Mounir Fakhry Abdel-Nour.
Members of Al-Gamaa Al-Islamiya are accused of killing at least 58 foreign tourists and four Egyptians in a terrorist attack in Luxor in 1997.
Luxor relies heavily on tourism and is considered one of the world's largest open-air museums."
Ahram Online
(Please see article by Brian Whitaker, 4 posts below)
"Tourism Minister Hisham Zaazou has resigned in protest at the appointment of an ultimate-conservative Islamist as governor of Luxor.
Prime Minister Hisham Qandil asked Zaazou to continue in his job but he refused, Azazi added."Hisham Zaazou insists on his departure, and I have not denied it as was reported by some websites," ministerial spokesperson Rasha Azazi told Ahram Online.
On Tuesday, Zaazou met with PM Qandil to discuss his concerns about the appointment of Adel El-Khayat, a member of Al-Gamaa Al-Islamiya, as governor of Luxor. Zaazou tendered his resignation hours after the meeting.
Zaazou, a technocrat and political independent, was appointed tourism minister in August 2012. He was previously assistant to former tourism minister Mounir Fakhry Abdel-Nour.
Members of Al-Gamaa Al-Islamiya are accused of killing at least 58 foreign tourists and four Egyptians in a terrorist attack in Luxor in 1997.
Luxor relies heavily on tourism and is considered one of the world's largest open-air museums."
Tuesday, June 18, 2013
The Destruction Of The Syrian Air Force
"June 18, 2013: The Syrian Air Force has suffered major losses in the last year, as the aircraft and helicopters were unleashed on rebels (and civilian supporters) and took a beating. Of the 370 usable fixed wing war planes the Syrian Air Force had two years, about half are now out of action because of combat losses or wear and tear. Nearly two-thirds of the 360 helicopters are gone, for the same reasons.
Part of the problem was that few Syrian air force leaders (and pilots) were prepared for this kind of war (low level bombing and lots of helicopter flights under fire). Desperate time remand desperate measures, and in the last few months even the MiG-29 fighters have been seen dropping bombs. These are the most modern aircraft Syria has and their pilots were trained to fight Israeli jets, not bomb civilians. But a village or city neighborhood is hard to miss, even for a rookie.
A more costly problem is the lack of flying time in the last decade. Syria could never afford, even with Iranian subsidies, to let their combat pilots fly enough to be really good at it. For the last year, the only flying has been for combat missions. MiG-29 pilots were taught about bombing, if they had no experience in that, on the ground and practiced the weapons release procedure while the aircraft were sitting on the ground. The first actual bomb drop was for real, not practice. This lack of flight time led to operational losses, especially when it came to landing damaged (by enemy action or equipment failure) aircraft. This often led to aircraft loss rather than bringing home a repairable aircraft. A shortage of spare parts often made repairs impossible and has become a major factor in aircraft becoming inoperable after heavy use (which wears out some components).
The Syrian Air Force also suffers from an overabundance of older, well-worn, and poorly maintained aircraft. The best example is their use of the MiG-21. This is a 1950s design and most of the few remaining current users are phasing them out. But because Syria is so poor, their 150 MiG-21s are still the most abundant aircraft in their air force. But only about half of these MiG-21s are flyable. There are also a hundred 1960s era MiG-23s, ten MiG-25s, and 40 MiG-29s. There are also 20 Su-24 and 60 Su-22 ground attack aircraft. The 60 operational L-39 jet trainers were also able to carry some weapons (typical with trainers like this) and were used to attack rebels. There is also a large force of helicopters, the most common being over 240 Mi-8s (including some of the more modern Mi-17 model). There are 120 attack helicopters, half of them Mi-24s (a gunship variant of the Mi-8 and contemporary of the American AH-1), the rest are elderly French Gazelle scout helicopters and Polish Mi-2s. These are mostly used as aerial taxis as they only carry a few weapons and can’t handle much damage.
It wasn’t until about a year ago that the rebels (using army deserters and information collected via the Internet or Islamic radical fighters with experience in Iraq) developed effective anti-aircraft techniques. The most common and successful one was to place multiple machine-guns, including at least one heavy (12.7-23mm) machine-gun, along the route used by helicopters or jets coming in for landing or low level attack. These machine-guns were fired in a coordinated manner and were very effective. This tactic is called “flak trap” and dates back to World War II (or earlier). This tactic works if you can use surprise and one or more concealed, preferably truck mounted, heavy machine-guns.
Syrian Air Force losses have been heavy, with some 400 aircrew dead, captured, or missing. Nearly a hundred fixed wing and over a hundred helicopters have been lost. About half of these aircraft were captured or destroyed on the ground as rebels attacked, and often captured, air bases. The jets (and a few transports) were hit while landing and taking off, and this threat often led to airbases being abandoned, with aircraft incapable (because of damage or lack of spare parts) of flying out being destroyed or just left behind. The rebels have about a dozen flyable helicopters and some helicopter pilots have defected, but there is not really a rebel “air force” just yet.
All Syrian aircraft are showing their age, except for the MiG-29s, which are relatively new. Lack of money has meant few flying hours for air force pilots and not enough money to keep all aircraft flyable even before the revolution began two years ago. Fuel and spare parts are even more expensive now (because of sanctions) and the air force has a hard time dealing with the payroll and the expense of running (and defending) its bases.
The Syrian Air Force has a dismal record, although their primary opponent for over half a century has been Israel. The Assad family has occasionally used the air force against the Syrian people and seemed reluctant at first to unleash hundreds of combat aircraft on civilians. But a year ago that changed, and an air attack was considered successful whether it hit armed rebels or the unarmed civilians that supported him. Several air force defectors reported that pilots were often instructed to go after bakeries (bread is a key element of the Syrian diet) and apartment buildings, in order to maximize the suffering among civilians.
The air force is rapidly disappearing because of combat and operational (accidents and poor maintenance) losses. At this point the government has nothing to lose and simply regards the remaining aircraft as similar to diminishing ammo supplies. Use it or lose it to advancing rebels."
Brazil's Protesters Take To The Streets Again
AP


(Cartoon by Carlos Latuff)
"SAO PAULO — Enormous demonstrations have shaken cities across this continent-sized country, and more were expected Tuesday in some of the largest outpourings of frustration in decades over red tape, high prices and shoddy services in a rising economic power.
Mostly peaceful marches in at least eight big cities on Monday drew more than 240,000 people nationwide, Brazilian media said, though demonstrations in the cities of Rio de Janeiro and Belo Horizonte were marred by vandalism and violent clashes with police. Several dozen people were reported injured.
The protests began over a hike in bus prices in the city of Sao Paulo, but were also fed by images of that city's police beating demonstrators and firing rubber bullets last week during a march that drew 5,000 people. In Rio, the violent police crackdown on a small and peaceful crowd Sunday near the iconic Maracana stadium incited many to come out this week for what local news media described as the city's largest protest in a generation.
The vast majority of Rio's protesters were peaceful, but a splinter group attacked the state legislature building, setting a car and other objects ablaze. The newspaper O Globo cited Rio state security officials as saying at least 20 officers and nine protesters were injured there.
Protests also were reported in the cities of Curitiba, Vitoria, Fortaleza, Recife, Belem and Salvador. More actions were being planned on social media sites for Tuesday in Sao Paulo and Brasilia....."
Brazilian Military Police Officer Pepper-Sprays Woman During Rio De Janeiro Protests
(Cartoon by Carlos Latuff)
"SAO PAULO — Enormous demonstrations have shaken cities across this continent-sized country, and more were expected Tuesday in some of the largest outpourings of frustration in decades over red tape, high prices and shoddy services in a rising economic power.
Mostly peaceful marches in at least eight big cities on Monday drew more than 240,000 people nationwide, Brazilian media said, though demonstrations in the cities of Rio de Janeiro and Belo Horizonte were marred by vandalism and violent clashes with police. Several dozen people were reported injured.
The protests began over a hike in bus prices in the city of Sao Paulo, but were also fed by images of that city's police beating demonstrators and firing rubber bullets last week during a march that drew 5,000 people. In Rio, the violent police crackdown on a small and peaceful crowd Sunday near the iconic Maracana stadium incited many to come out this week for what local news media described as the city's largest protest in a generation.
The vast majority of Rio's protesters were peaceful, but a splinter group attacked the state legislature building, setting a car and other objects ablaze. The newspaper O Globo cited Rio state security officials as saying at least 20 officers and nine protesters were injured there.
Protests also were reported in the cities of Curitiba, Vitoria, Fortaleza, Recife, Belem and Salvador. More actions were being planned on social media sites for Tuesday in Sao Paulo and Brasilia....."
Egyptian provinces need elected governors
Islamists
and military men dominate new appointments
By Brian Whitaker
"President Morsi's decree appointing new governors for 17 of the Egypt's 27 provinces has triggered a new wave of protests and further raised political tensions ahead of the mass demonstrations against Morsi which have been called by opposition groups for June 30.
By Brian Whitaker
"President Morsi's decree appointing new governors for 17 of the Egypt's 27 provinces has triggered a new wave of protests and further raised political tensions ahead of the mass demonstrations against Morsi which have been called by opposition groups for June 30.
Seven of the new governors are members of the Muslim
Brotherhood and others are military figures but the most controversial
appointment is that of Adel
al-Khayyat as governor of Luxor.
Khayyat belongs to the
political wing of Gamaa Islamiyya, which claimed responsibility for the 1997
Luxor massacre in which 58 tourists and four Egyptians were killed.
Although the Gamaa has since renounced violence, putting one
of its members in charge of Luxor – with its huge economic dependence on tourism
– seems an extremely provocative move. The Gamaa, which is seen as hostile to
tourism and pre-Islamic monuments, once posted
a notice on its website saying:
"Because tourist villages have aspects that anger Allah, including alcohol, gambling and other forbidden things, building these hotels and villages is considered aiding their owners in sin and aggression, and is not permitted."
Al-Masry al-Youm (in Arabic) suggests Morsi appointed
Khayyat to appease the Gamaa "because it is the only party that stands beside
the Brotherhood against the people".
Ahram Online reports
protests against several other appointees....."
Syria crisis: G8 summit promise of aid and talks barely papers over cracks
Russia's refusal to give ground on Bashar al-Assad means little will change in the wake of the summit
GOOD ANALYSIS
Ian Black, Middle East editor
guardian.co.uk,
In the context of the war in Syria, the G8's support for peace talks in Geneva and a pledge of $1.5bn (£960m) in humanitarian aid are the diplomatic equivalent of motherhood and apple pie – a comforting reaffirmation of the decent and unobjectionable.
But neither will do much to end the crisis any time soon. Agreement between Vladimir Putin and Barack Obama, brokered by David Cameron, may have been based on a common desire "to stop the bloodshed" but it barely papered over the cracks.
Cameron had warned that the Russian president was isolated. But when consensus is required, as it is at the G8, one country still trumps seven. Putin did sign up for a call for a "transitional government" in Damascus but he gave not an inch on the crucial question of whether Bashar al-Assad should step down, as the US, Britain and the Syrian opposition all insist he must.
So what had been billed as "a clarifying moment" clarified only that there is still no agreement among the five permanent members of the UN security council. That's as true now as it was when the Syrian uprising – by far the bloodiest of the Arab spring – began in March 2011. The difference now is that at least 93,000 people have been killed and the entire Middle East is quaking to the terrible sights, sounds and dangers of a spreading and increasingly sectarian war.
The G8 politics of the lowest common denominator mean that efforts to convene the Geneva negotiations "as soon as possible" will continue – though their prospects are dim and the timing uncertain.
Assad, making significant military gains with the support of Lebanon's Hezbollah, has pledged to send a delegation but the opposition remains divided and deeply reluctant. Russia and the west are also at odds over whether Iran, a loyal supporter of Assad, should be invited.
The predictable failure in Enniskillen shows there has been no progress since the first Geneva conference in June 2012. Assad, then as now, refuses to negotiate his own departure, insisting he will still be around in 2014.
Other key elements of the Syrian tragedy got careful references. The condemnation of "any use of chemical weapons" glossed over Russia's insistence that there is no evidence of the use of sarin nerve gas by government forces – contradicting claims by the US, Britain and France. Concern about "extremism" was another, with a call on the Syrian authorities and opposition to shun any organisations affiliated with al-Qaida.
No mention was made of controversial plans by Washington, London and Paris directly to arm rebel forces – even though US intentions, after a convoluted statement last week, remain unclear.
Obama sounded uncertain and defensive, telling PBS that "we're not taking sides in a religious war between Shia and Sunni" but aiming instead for a "stable, non-sectarian, representative government".
But his views on Putin's role were unmistakably blunt: "Assad, at this point – in part, because of his support from Iran and from Russia – believes that he does not have to engage in a political transition, believes that he can continue to simply violently suppress over half of the population," the president said. "And as long as he's got that mindset, it's going to be very difficult to resolve the situation there."
Aid agencies will be pleased with the promised $1.5bn in humanitarian aid – split between Syria itself and neighbouring countries, which are struggling to cope with 1.6 million refugees and rising. That's a substantial sticking plaster. But the wound is still bleeding heavily and shows no sign of being staunched."
GOOD ANALYSIS
Ian Black, Middle East editor
guardian.co.uk,
In the context of the war in Syria, the G8's support for peace talks in Geneva and a pledge of $1.5bn (£960m) in humanitarian aid are the diplomatic equivalent of motherhood and apple pie – a comforting reaffirmation of the decent and unobjectionable.
But neither will do much to end the crisis any time soon. Agreement between Vladimir Putin and Barack Obama, brokered by David Cameron, may have been based on a common desire "to stop the bloodshed" but it barely papered over the cracks.
Cameron had warned that the Russian president was isolated. But when consensus is required, as it is at the G8, one country still trumps seven. Putin did sign up for a call for a "transitional government" in Damascus but he gave not an inch on the crucial question of whether Bashar al-Assad should step down, as the US, Britain and the Syrian opposition all insist he must.
So what had been billed as "a clarifying moment" clarified only that there is still no agreement among the five permanent members of the UN security council. That's as true now as it was when the Syrian uprising – by far the bloodiest of the Arab spring – began in March 2011. The difference now is that at least 93,000 people have been killed and the entire Middle East is quaking to the terrible sights, sounds and dangers of a spreading and increasingly sectarian war.
The G8 politics of the lowest common denominator mean that efforts to convene the Geneva negotiations "as soon as possible" will continue – though their prospects are dim and the timing uncertain.
Assad, making significant military gains with the support of Lebanon's Hezbollah, has pledged to send a delegation but the opposition remains divided and deeply reluctant. Russia and the west are also at odds over whether Iran, a loyal supporter of Assad, should be invited.
The predictable failure in Enniskillen shows there has been no progress since the first Geneva conference in June 2012. Assad, then as now, refuses to negotiate his own departure, insisting he will still be around in 2014.
Other key elements of the Syrian tragedy got careful references. The condemnation of "any use of chemical weapons" glossed over Russia's insistence that there is no evidence of the use of sarin nerve gas by government forces – contradicting claims by the US, Britain and France. Concern about "extremism" was another, with a call on the Syrian authorities and opposition to shun any organisations affiliated with al-Qaida.
No mention was made of controversial plans by Washington, London and Paris directly to arm rebel forces – even though US intentions, after a convoluted statement last week, remain unclear.
Obama sounded uncertain and defensive, telling PBS that "we're not taking sides in a religious war between Shia and Sunni" but aiming instead for a "stable, non-sectarian, representative government".
But his views on Putin's role were unmistakably blunt: "Assad, at this point – in part, because of his support from Iran and from Russia – believes that he does not have to engage in a political transition, believes that he can continue to simply violently suppress over half of the population," the president said. "And as long as he's got that mindset, it's going to be very difficult to resolve the situation there."
Aid agencies will be pleased with the promised $1.5bn in humanitarian aid – split between Syria itself and neighbouring countries, which are struggling to cope with 1.6 million refugees and rising. That's a substantial sticking plaster. But the wound is still bleeding heavily and shows no sign of being staunched."
Glenn Greenwald: As Obama Makes "False" Surveillance Claims, Snowden Risks Life to Spark NSA Debate
Democracy Now!
"Glenn Greenwald, the Guardian journalist who broke the NSA surveillance story earlier this month, joins us one day after both President Obama and whistleblower Edward Snowden gave extensive interviews on the surveillance programs Snowden exposed and Obama is now forced to defend. Speaking to PBS, Obama distinguished his surveillance efforts from those of the Bush administration and reaffirmed his insistence that no Americans’ phone calls or emails are being directly monitored without court orders. Greenwald calls Obama’s statements "outright false" for omitting the warrantless spying on phone calls between Americans and callers outside the United States. "It is true that the NSA can’t deliberately target U.S. citizens for [warrantless] surveillance, but it is also the case they are frequently engaged in surveillance of exactly that kind of invasive technique involving U.S. persons," Greenwald says. After moderating Snowden’s online Q&A with Guardian readers, Greenwald says of the whistleblower: "I think what you see here is a person who was very disturbed by this massive surveillance apparatus built in the U.S. that spies not only on American citizens, but the world with very little checks, very little oversight. He’s making clear his intention was to inform citizens even at the expense of his own liberty or even life."......."
"Glenn Greenwald, the Guardian journalist who broke the NSA surveillance story earlier this month, joins us one day after both President Obama and whistleblower Edward Snowden gave extensive interviews on the surveillance programs Snowden exposed and Obama is now forced to defend. Speaking to PBS, Obama distinguished his surveillance efforts from those of the Bush administration and reaffirmed his insistence that no Americans’ phone calls or emails are being directly monitored without court orders. Greenwald calls Obama’s statements "outright false" for omitting the warrantless spying on phone calls between Americans and callers outside the United States. "It is true that the NSA can’t deliberately target U.S. citizens for [warrantless] surveillance, but it is also the case they are frequently engaged in surveillance of exactly that kind of invasive technique involving U.S. persons," Greenwald says. After moderating Snowden’s online Q&A with Guardian readers, Greenwald says of the whistleblower: "I think what you see here is a person who was very disturbed by this massive surveillance apparatus built in the U.S. that spies not only on American citizens, but the world with very little checks, very little oversight. He’s making clear his intention was to inform citizens even at the expense of his own liberty or even life."......."
Real News Video: Iran's New President a Regime Insider - Wide Mandate for More Civil Liberties
Hamid Dabashi: President-elect Hassan Rohani will not change Iran's Neo-liberal capitalism but may be inspired by popular support for more political rights and nuclear transparency
Egypt: Activist faces jail sentence on bogus charges
"A recent one-year prison sentence handed down against a prominent opposition activist in Egypt is the latest attempt by the government to silence criticism, Amnesty International said today while calling for the conviction to be quashed and for him to be released.
On 15 June, an Alexandria appeals court upheld the conviction against Hassan Mostafa for insulting and attacking a public prosecutor but lowered his sentence from two years in prison to one year with labour.
Mostafa, who denies the accusations against him, was not brought to the hearing on Saturday.
“The conviction against Hassan Mostafa is the latest blow to freedom of expression in Egypt, where we see case after case of opposition activists, bloggers, comedians and protesters facing trial for criticizing the authorities or ‘defaming religion’,” said Hassiba Hadj Sahraoui, Deputy Director for Middle East and North Africa at Amnesty International.
On 21 January this year, Hassan Mostafa had gone to the Manshiya Prosecution office in Alexandria with a group of lawyers to inquire about the whereabouts of dozens of protesters and passers-by who had been arrested a day earlier.
He was arrested later that day inside the adjacent Alexandria Court complex and charged......"
Israel Gives the US the Green Light: U.S. right to arm Syrian rebels, says Israeli president
"JERUSALEM (Reuters) - Israeli President Shimon Peres has thrown his weight behind U.S. plans to arm Syrian rebels, shrugging off fears the weapons could be turned on Israel and exacerbate the conflict......"
Big Brother or war criminal?
While trumpeting freedoms, Washington has been officially spying on the world through the Internet. It’s a reminder of its hypocrisy, but also exposes ours.
By Amira Howeidy , Monday 17 Jun 2013
Ahram Online

".....But our oxymoronic approach to the US was taken to another level when, 10 years after its invasion of Iraq and its disastrous consequences on the once powerful and important nation, we’re barely criticising its involvement in Syria. While most anti-Bashar Al-Assad views have bitterly spoken against Hizbullah’s active involvement and also their new archenemies the takfiris (extremist Sunni Muslim groups who brand non-conformists apostates), few are condemning the Syrian opposition’s cooperation with Washington. Nobody is asking why we’re horrified by the takfiris and Hizbullah, resentful of Iran and Russia, but nonchalant — if not neutral — about the American factor?....
In the same spirit, but on a much smaller scale, the US administration has violated its own Fourth Amendment by expanding surveillance and the powers of the NSA to unprecedented levels. This is largely an American problem that brave people like Snowden refuse to accept. But in our revolutionary spirit and quest for the rule of just laws, democratic values and national independence, PRISM is only a reminder for us to hold the US administration accountable to the same values we claim to be fighting for. It can’t be part of any chapter of the Arab Spring."
By Amira Howeidy , Monday 17 Jun 2013
Ahram Online
".....But our oxymoronic approach to the US was taken to another level when, 10 years after its invasion of Iraq and its disastrous consequences on the once powerful and important nation, we’re barely criticising its involvement in Syria. While most anti-Bashar Al-Assad views have bitterly spoken against Hizbullah’s active involvement and also their new archenemies the takfiris (extremist Sunni Muslim groups who brand non-conformists apostates), few are condemning the Syrian opposition’s cooperation with Washington. Nobody is asking why we’re horrified by the takfiris and Hizbullah, resentful of Iran and Russia, but nonchalant — if not neutral — about the American factor?....
In the same spirit, but on a much smaller scale, the US administration has violated its own Fourth Amendment by expanding surveillance and the powers of the NSA to unprecedented levels. This is largely an American problem that brave people like Snowden refuse to accept. But in our revolutionary spirit and quest for the rule of just laws, democratic values and national independence, PRISM is only a reminder for us to hold the US administration accountable to the same values we claim to be fighting for. It can’t be part of any chapter of the Arab Spring."
Monday, June 17, 2013
Turkish Unions Hold National Strike as Protesters Face Worst Crackdown to Date
Democracy Now!
"More than 800,000 people are believed to be taking part in a national strike by Turkish unions in protest of the government’s crackdown on nearly three weeks of protests. The strike follows a weekend that saw the protests’ worst violence to date. On Sunday, around 400 people were arrested as police used tear gas, water cannons and rubber bullets in the streets of Istanbul, Ankara and other cities. Medics treating wounded demonstrators were among those detained. We’re joined from Turkey by Çigdem Öztürk, an independent journalist covering the protests for Express magazine....."
"More than 800,000 people are believed to be taking part in a national strike by Turkish unions in protest of the government’s crackdown on nearly three weeks of protests. The strike follows a weekend that saw the protests’ worst violence to date. On Sunday, around 400 people were arrested as police used tear gas, water cannons and rubber bullets in the streets of Istanbul, Ankara and other cities. Medics treating wounded demonstrators were among those detained. We’re joined from Turkey by Çigdem Öztürk, an independent journalist covering the protests for Express magazine....."
Sapping Assad’s Strength: Israel Stirs the Pot in Syria
A GOOD PIECE
By Jonathan Cook – Nazareth
Palestine Chronicle
".......So what does Israel consider in its interests if neither Assad’s survival nor his removal is appealing?
According to some well-placed Israeli commentators, the best Israel can hope for is that Assad holds on but only just. That would keep the regime in place, or boxed into its heartland, but sapped of the energy to concern itself with anything other than immediate matters of survival. It would be unable to offer help to Hizbollah, isolating the militia in Lebanon and cutting off its supply line to Iran.
In closed-door discussions, analyst Ben Caspit has noted, the Israeli army has put forward as its “optimal scenario” Syria breaking up into three separate states, with Assad confined to an Alawite canton in Damascus and along the coast.
A long war of attrition between Assad and the opposition has additional benefits for Israel following the decision by Hizbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, to draft thousands of fighters to assist the Syrian army. Protracted losses could deplete Hizbollah’s ranks and morale, while fighting is likely to spill over from Syria into Lebanon, tying up the militia on multiple fronts.
But there is a risk here too. If Hizbollah performs well, as it did in defeating the rebels this month at the town of Qusayr, its position in Lebanon could be strengthened rather than weakened. And in that situation Assad’s debt to Hizbollah would only deepen.
Such calculations are doubtless exercising Israeli military minds.
The greatest danger of all is that yet more parties get drawn in, turning the conflict into a regional one. That would be the likely outcome if Israel chooses to increase its interference, or if the US comes good with its recent threats to increase military aid to the opposition or impose a no-fly zone over parts or all of Syria.
Either way, Israel might see the transformation of Syria in to a new mini-cold war theater as advantageous."
By Jonathan Cook – Nazareth
Palestine Chronicle
".......So what does Israel consider in its interests if neither Assad’s survival nor his removal is appealing?
According to some well-placed Israeli commentators, the best Israel can hope for is that Assad holds on but only just. That would keep the regime in place, or boxed into its heartland, but sapped of the energy to concern itself with anything other than immediate matters of survival. It would be unable to offer help to Hizbollah, isolating the militia in Lebanon and cutting off its supply line to Iran.
In closed-door discussions, analyst Ben Caspit has noted, the Israeli army has put forward as its “optimal scenario” Syria breaking up into three separate states, with Assad confined to an Alawite canton in Damascus and along the coast.
A long war of attrition between Assad and the opposition has additional benefits for Israel following the decision by Hizbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, to draft thousands of fighters to assist the Syrian army. Protracted losses could deplete Hizbollah’s ranks and morale, while fighting is likely to spill over from Syria into Lebanon, tying up the militia on multiple fronts.
But there is a risk here too. If Hizbollah performs well, as it did in defeating the rebels this month at the town of Qusayr, its position in Lebanon could be strengthened rather than weakened. And in that situation Assad’s debt to Hizbollah would only deepen.
Such calculations are doubtless exercising Israeli military minds.
The greatest danger of all is that yet more parties get drawn in, turning the conflict into a regional one. That would be the likely outcome if Israel chooses to increase its interference, or if the US comes good with its recent threats to increase military aid to the opposition or impose a no-fly zone over parts or all of Syria.
Either way, Israel might see the transformation of Syria in to a new mini-cold war theater as advantageous."
حماس تعلن معارضتها دخول قوات حزب الله في سورية وتطالب بسحبها
"غزة- (د ب أ): أعلنت حركة حماس الفلسطينية الاثنين معارضتها إدخال حزب الله اللبناني قواته إلى سورية، مطالبة إياه بسحب قواته وإبقاء سلاحه موجها فقط ضد إسرائيل.
"(Reuters) - The Palestinian Islamist Hamas movement on Monday urged Lebanese militant group Hezbollah to withdraw its forces from Syria, where they are battling for President Bashar al-Assad, and focus on fighting Israel instead.
Hamas, which controls the Gaza Strip, was once an Assad ally but last year endorsed the revolt against him in a shift that at the time deprived the Syrian leader of an important Sunni Muslim supporter in the Arab world.
"We call on Hezbollah to take its forces out of Syria and to keep their weapons directed against the Zionist enemy," Moussa Abu Marzouk, a Cairo-based Hamas leader, said on his Facebook page.
The call marked a further deterioration in relations between Hamas and Hezbollah, two long-time allies who have each fought against Israel and advocate its destruction.
Abu Marzouk said Shi'ite Muslim Hezbollah's involvement in Syria, where Assad, a member of the Shi'ite-rooted Alawite sect, is fighting mainly Sunni rebels, had stoked sectarian conflict.
Hamas has denied some Lebanese media reports that its fighters were present in Syria to train rebels in weaponry, bomb-making and tunnel digging.
On Friday, Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah promised his group would keep fighting alongside Assad's forces after it spearheaded the recapture of the strategic town of Qusair.
Hamas's leaders in exile were once based in Damascus but left, mainly for Egypt and Qatar, in 2012 as the civil war escalated."
واعتبرت حماس، في بيان صحفي صدر عن اجتماع قياداتها في العاصمة المصرية القاهرة، أن دخول قوات حزب الله في سورية “أسهم في زيادة الاستقطاب الطائفي في المنطقة”.
وأكدت الحركة على “حق الشعب السوري الثابت في نيل حقوقه وأمانيه وتطلعاته في الحرية والكرامة وهو الشعب الأصيل الذي كان دوما مخلصا لنهج المقاومة وفي طليعة المقاومين والممانعين”.
وشددت على أن “القضية الفلسطينية هي القضية المركزية للأمة العربية والإسلامية ومقاومة الاحتلال الصهيوني هي مهمتها الأساسية ولابد من الحفاظ على بوصلة المقاومة واتجاهها مهما كانت الظروف والأحوال”.
ودعت حركة حماس إلى “الحرص على وحدة الأمة وتجنب كل أشكال الاستقطاب الطائفي والمذهبي والعرقي”.
"
Hamas calls on Hezbollah to pull fighters out of Syria"(Reuters) - The Palestinian Islamist Hamas movement on Monday urged Lebanese militant group Hezbollah to withdraw its forces from Syria, where they are battling for President Bashar al-Assad, and focus on fighting Israel instead.
Hamas, which controls the Gaza Strip, was once an Assad ally but last year endorsed the revolt against him in a shift that at the time deprived the Syrian leader of an important Sunni Muslim supporter in the Arab world.
"We call on Hezbollah to take its forces out of Syria and to keep their weapons directed against the Zionist enemy," Moussa Abu Marzouk, a Cairo-based Hamas leader, said on his Facebook page.
The call marked a further deterioration in relations between Hamas and Hezbollah, two long-time allies who have each fought against Israel and advocate its destruction.
Abu Marzouk said Shi'ite Muslim Hezbollah's involvement in Syria, where Assad, a member of the Shi'ite-rooted Alawite sect, is fighting mainly Sunni rebels, had stoked sectarian conflict.
Hamas has denied some Lebanese media reports that its fighters were present in Syria to train rebels in weaponry, bomb-making and tunnel digging.
On Friday, Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah promised his group would keep fighting alongside Assad's forces after it spearheaded the recapture of the strategic town of Qusair.
Hamas's leaders in exile were once based in Damascus but left, mainly for Egypt and Qatar, in 2012 as the civil war escalated."
Sunday, June 16, 2013
العاهل السعودي عندما يقطع اجازته ومرسي عندما يعلن القطيعة
عبد الباري عطوان
لا توجد قضية تشغل العالم هذه الايام غير الصراع الدائر على سورية وفيها، حتى الانتخابات الايرانية التي تعتبر نقطة تحول رئيسية ذات ابعاد اقليمية ودولية ‘تتقزم’ ويتم النظر اليها من منظار انعكاساتها على سورية بطريقة او بأخرى.
سورية، وايا كان الموقف منها، مع النظام او المعارضة، او بين البينين، هي التي ستغير خرائط كثيرة، اقليمية ودولية، وستخلق كيانات جديدة، وتحالفات جديدة، وستؤسس لشرق اوسط جديد غير الذي عرفناه او نتوقعه.
‘ ‘ ‘
اربعة تطورات رئيسية طرأت على المشهد السوري في اليومين الماضيين، وكل يوم تقريبا هناك تطور جديد، يمكن ايجازها كالتالي:
‘ التطور الاول: قطع العاهل السعودي الملك عبدالله بن عبد العزيز اجازته الخاصة التي كان يقضيها في الدار البيضاء (المغرب) وهو الرجل المريض والمسن، والعودة الى بلاده ‘بسبب التطورات في المنطقة’، حتى انه لم ينتظر يوما واحدا للقاء العاهل المغربي محمد السادس الذي كان بصدد العودة الى بلاده بعد اجازة طويلة.
قطع الاجازة، وبهذه الطريقة، لا يمكن ان يحدث الا لسببين رئيسيين، الاول: وجود تطورات داخلية خطيرة في المملكة العربية السعودية، وهذا امر شبه مستبعد، لانه لم يتم رصد اي شيء مثير للاهتمام في هذا الصدد، والثاني: ان تكون الحرب في المنطقة ضد سورية او ايران، او الاثنتين معا، باتت وشيكة، الأمر الذي يتطلب وجود العاهل السعودي في بلاده لقيادة سفينتها باعتباره الربان الاول، والقائد الاعلى للقوات المسلحة، واعطاء الضوء الاخضر لها للتدخل. وهناك سبب او احتمال ثالث لا نستطيع ذكره.
‘ التطور الثاني: الخطاب الناري والمفاجئ الذي القاه الرئيس المصري محمد مرسي في استاد القاهرة الدولي، واعلن فيه قطع العلاقات مع سورية، ووضع الجيش المصري في خدمة شعبها، وتأييد فتوى علماء مسلمين سنة بإعلان الجهاد ضد النظام القائم فيها.
مهرجان التضامن مع سورية الذي خطب فيه الرئيس مرسي وسط مئة الف من انصاره تقريبا، جرى ترتيبه على عجل، ومن اجل القاء هذا الخطاب الذي فجّر فيه الرئيس مرسي قنبلته المفاجئة هذه، ونسف كل مواقفه شبه الوسطية تجاه الصراع في هذا البلد المنكوب.
قبل عشرة ايام التقيت الرئيس مرسي في قصر الاتحادية لما يقرب من 45 دقيقة، ووجدت موقفه وسطيا معتدلا تجاه سورية وما يجري فيها، حتى انه ابلغني بأنه سيوسّع لجنته الرباعيّة التي تشمل ايران والسعودية وتركيا ومصر، بحيث تصبح ‘ثمانيّة’ بحيث يوجه الدعوة للمشاركة فيها من اجل التوصل الى حل سياسي للأزمة الى مندوب عن النظام وآخر عن المعارضة، وثالث عن الجامعة، ورابع عن منظمة التعاون الاسلامي.
السؤال هو: ما الذي غيّر الرئيس مرسي حوالى مئة وثمانين درجة، هل هي معلومات بقرب اندلاع الحرب، ام هو طلب امريكي، ام تقارب مفاجئ مع السعودية التي باتت تجلس في مقعد قيادة التحركات العسكرية الحالية في سورية، ام كل هذه الاشياء مجتمعة؟
‘ التطور الثالث: تصاعد الحشود العسكرية في الجوار السوري، فقد اعلنت بريطانيا عن ارسال 300 جندي (مارينز) الى الحدود السورية ـ الاردنية، وقررت امريكا الابقاء على طائرات (اف 16) العملاقة التي اشتركت في مناورات ‘الاسد المتأهب’ في الاردن وصواريخ ‘الباتريوت’ ايضا، بينما كشفت مجلة ‘دير شبيغل’ نقلا عن تقرير للمخابرات الالمانية ان السعودية قررت تزويد المعارضة السورية المسلحة بصواريخ مضادة للطائرات، ولا يمكن ان ننسى ما ذكره الصحافي البريطاني المخضرم روبرت فيسك في صحيفة
‘اندبندنت’ ان ايران تعتزم ارسال 4000 جندي لمساندة النظام في سورية.
‘ التطور الرابع: اتفاق بريطانيا وروسيا على العمل سويا من اجل القضاء على الجماعات الاسلامية المتشددة المرتبطة بتنظيم ‘القاعدة’ واعلان ديفيد كاميرون رئيس وزراء بريطانيا انه اتفق مع الرئيس الروسي فلاديمير بوتين على طرد هذه الجماعات، وحذر من انهم سيسيطرون على البلد في حال فشل التصدي لهؤلاء، ولهذا لا بدّ من مساندة الجماعات الاخرى ‘المعتدلة’ بكل الطرق والوسائل من اجل بناء سورية ديمقراطية تعددية تحترم حقوق الاقليات ‘بمن في ذلك المسيحيون’.
هذه التطورات الاربعة ستكون على قمة جدول اعمال زعماء الدول الثماني العظمى الذي سيعقد اليوم في ايرلندا بزعامة الرئيس الامريكي باراك اوباما، وهي ستحدد طبيعة التدخل العسكري المباشر او غير المباشر في سورية في الايام او الاسابيع المقبلة.
التحالف السعودي المصري هو الذي اخرج القوات العراقية من الكويت، وهو الذي وفر الغطاء العربي الاقليمي لغزو العراق واحتلاله، ولعب دورا اكبر في تغيير النظام في ليبيا بتشريع تدخل حلف الناتو، وهذا التحالف الجديد الذي استعاد زخمه على عجل، هو الذي سيتصدى لعملية التغيير المتوقعة في سورية.
النجاحات التي حققها هذا التحالف الثنائي جاءت سهلة ومضمونة لان البلدين المستهدفين (العراق وليبيا) كانا ضعيفين ومعزولين، وفي ظل خلل في التوازن الدولي اثر انهيار الاتحاد السوفييتي (حالة العراق) وخديعة روسيا (في ليبيا) من خلال توفير غطاء اممي يمكن تأويله لهذا الغرض.
‘ ‘ ‘
الصورة الآن مختلفة كثيرا، فروسيا تدعم النظام السوري، وكذلك ايران وحزب الله، مضافا الى ذلك ان مصر منقسمة، والتغيير الكبير في موقف الرئيس مرسي وجماعة الاخوان المسلمين من حيث اعلان القطيعة والجهاد على هذا النظام قد تزيد هذا الانقسام المتفجر اساسا.
الأزمة في سورية بدأت انتفاضة مشروعة من اجل العدالة والحريات والكرامة واحترام حقوق الانسان، وها هي تتطور الى حرب طائفية بين السنة والشيعة، ومن يقول غير ذلك يغالط الحقيقة، ولا نتردد في القول ان هناك في الجانبين من ارادها كذلك مع سبق الاصرار والترصد.
مئة الف انسان بريء استشهدوا في سورية حتى الآن، وهناك من يؤكد ان الرقم الحقيقي مئتا الف، ولا نستبعد ان يقترب هذا الرقم من المليون اذا اندلعت شرارة الحرب، ونحن نراها وشيكة.. بل وشيكة جدا.
Turkey: End the incommunicado detention of Istanbul protesters
Amnesty International
Police in Turkey are refusing to acknowledge that they have people in custody following mass detentions carried out during the night in Istanbul.
"Police in Turkey are refusing to acknowledge that they have people in custody following mass detentions carried out during the night in Istanbul, Amnesty International said today.
More than a hundred are believed to have been detained during Saturday night's demonstrations in the areas of Taksim, the main focus of the protests, and the nearby districts of Harbiye and Mecidiyekoy. The actual number is not known but is likely to be significantly higher.
The Istanbul Bar Association told Amnesty International that they knew of around 70 named individuals who were seen being detained by police but whose whereabouts still cannot be verified.
"Following a night of shocking police violence, the authorities are now denying due process to those they have detained. The police must release them immediately or disclose their location and allow access to family members and lawyers," said Andrew Gardner, Amnesty International's researcher on Turkey, who is currently in Istanbul.
Amnesty International has received consistent and credible reports of demonstrators being beaten by police during arrest and transfer to custody and being denied access to food, water, and toilet facilities for up to 12 hours during the current protests in Istanbul which have taken place for almost three weeks.
The fact that the location of the protesters is not known heightens concerns that they may have been ill-treated by the police......"
Saudi Arabia wants missiles for Syrian rebels: report
"BERLIN: Saudi Arabia plans to supply the Syrian opposition with anti-aircraft missiles to counter President Bashar al-Assad's air force, German news weekly Der Spiegel reported Sunday.
The article, citing a classified report received by the German foreign intelligence service and the German government last week, said Riyadh was looking at sending European-made Mistral-class MANPADS, or man-portable air-defence systems.
Der Spiegel noted the shoulder-launched surface-to-air missiles can target low-flying aircraft including helicopters and had given mujahideen fighters in Afghanistan a decisive edge against Soviet troops in the 1980s.
Saudi Arabia is a key supporter of the Syrian rebels and has long advocated providing them with better weaponry.
Washington vowed last week to send military aid to rebel forces trying to unseat Assad after saying it had proof that the regime had crossed a "red line" by using chemical weapons on a small scale.
The European Union lifted an embargo on arming the Syrian opposition last month, paving the way for greater Western support for rebels in a civil war that has claimed 93,000 lives."
Real News Video: A Coup Against the Constitution
Daniel Ellsberg, the man who released the Pentagon papers, says the FISA court is a sham and warrantless wiretapping, which has being going on for years before 9/11, is a violation of the US Constitution no matter what law Congress passes
Current Al-Jazeera (Arabic) Online Poll
Do you believe that Hassan Rouhani's win as the new Iranian president will change Iran's foreign policies?
So far, 89% have said no.
Al-Jazeera Video:Syria calling upon heavier weapons
"On Thursday, President Barack Obama agreed to expand the level of US military support for the Syrian rebels. The decision comes after the White house said it had conclusive evidence chemical weapons were being used by the Assad government; an act president Obama has repeatedly described as crossing a Red Line. We ask if the implication of the US to stop Assad's regime from using chemical weapons can shift the balance on the ground. To discuss the latest developments, Inside Syria, with presenter Fauziah Ibrahim, discusses with guests: Khaled Saleh, Head of the Media Office of the Syrian National Coalition; Mark Kimmitt, a Former US State Department official under President George W. Bush and a retired Brigadier General who also served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East; and Ammar Waqqaf, a Syrian political activist."
Iran will send 4,000 troops to aid Bashar al-Assad’s forces in Syria
World Exclusive: US urges Britain and France to join in supplying arms to Syrian rebels as MPs fear that UK will be drawn into growing Sunni-Shia conflict
By Robert Fisk
"Washington’s decision to arm Syria’s Sunni Muslim rebels has plunged America into the great Sunni-Shia conflict of the Islamic Middle East, entering a struggle that now dwarfs the Arab revolutions which overthrew dictatorships across the region.
For the first time, all of America’s ‘friends’ in the region are Sunni Muslims and all of its enemies are Shiites. Breaking all President Barack Obama’s rules of disengagement, the US is now fully engaged on the side of armed groups which include the most extreme Sunni Islamist movements in the Middle East.
The Independent on Sunday has learned that a military decision has been taken in Iran – even before last week’s presidential election – to send a first contingent of 4,000 Iranian Revolutionary Guards to Syria to support President Bashar al-Assad’s forces against the largely Sunni rebellion that has cost almost 100,000 lives in just over two years. Iran is now fully committed to preserving Assad’s regime, according to pro-Iranian sources which have been deeply involved in the Islamic Republic’s security, even to the extent of proposing to open up a new ‘Syrian’ front on the Golan Heights against Israel......
America’s alliance now includes the wealthiest states of the Arab Gulf, the vast Sunni territories between Egypt and Morocco, as well as Turkey and the fragile British-created monarchy in Jordan. King Abdullah of Jordan – flooded, like so many neighbouring nations, by hundreds of thousands of Syrian refugees – may also now find himself at the fulcrum of the Syrian battle. Up to 3,000 American ‘advisers’ are now believed to be in Jordan, and the creation of a southern Syria ‘no-fly zone’ – opposed by Syrian-controlled anti-aircraft batteries – will turn a crisis into a ‘hot’ war. So much for America’s ‘friends’.
Its enemies include the Lebanese Hizballah, the Alawite Shiite regime in Damascus and, of course, Iran. And Iraq, a largely Shiite nation which America ‘liberated’ from Saddam Hussein’s Sunni minority in the hope of balancing the Shiite power of Iran, has – against all US predictions – itself now largely fallen under Tehran’s influence and power. Iraqi Shiites as well as Hizballah members, have both fought alongside Assad’s forces.
Washington’s excuse for its new Middle East adventure – that it must arm Assad’s enemies because the Damascus regime has used sarin gas against them – convinces no-one in the Middle East. Final proof of the use of gas by either side in Syria remains almost as nebulous as President George W. Bush’s claim that Saddam’s Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction.
For the real reason why America has thrown its military power behind Syria’s Sunni rebels is because those same rebels are now losing their war against Assad. The Damascus regime’s victory this month in the central Syrian town of Qusayr, at the cost of Hizballah lives as well as those of government forces, has thrown the Syrian revolution into turmoil, threatening to humiliate American and EU demands for Assad to abandon power. Arab dictators are supposed to be deposed – unless they are the friendly kings or emirs of the Gulf – not to be sustained. Yet Russia has given its total support to Assad, three times vetoing UN Security Council resolutions that might have allowed the West to intervene directly in the civil war.
In the Middle East, there is cynical disbelief at the American contention that it can distribute arms – almost certainly including anti-aircraft missiles – only to secular Sunni rebel forces in Syria represented by the so-called Free Syria Army. The more powerful al-Nusrah Front, allied to al-Qaeda, dominates the battlefield on the rebel side and has been blamed for atrocities including the execution of Syrian government prisoners of war and the murder of a 14-year old boy for blasphemy. They will be able to take new American weapons from their Free Syria Army comrades with little effort.
From now on, therefore, every suicide bombing in Damascus - every war crime committed by the rebels - will be regarded in the region as Washington’s responsibility. The very Sunni-Wahabi Islamists who killed thousands of Americans on 11th September, 2011 – who are America’s greatest enemies as well as Russia’s – are going to be proxy allies of the Obama administration. This terrible irony can only be exacerbated by Russian President Vladimir Putin’s adament refusal to tolerate any form of Sunni extremism. His experience in Chechenya, his anti-Muslim rhetoric – he has made obscene remarks about Muslim extremists in a press conference in Russian – and his belief that Russia’s old ally in Syria is facing the same threat as Moscow fought in Chechenya, plays a far greater part in his policy towards Bashar al-Assad than the continued existence of Russia’s naval port at the Syrian Mediterranean city of Tartous.
For the Russians, of course, the ‘Middle East’ is not in the ‘east’ at all, but to the south of Moscow; and statistics are all-important. The Chechen capital of Grozny is scarcely 500 miles from the Syrian frontier. Fifteen per cent of Russians are Muslim. Six of the Soviet Union’s communist republics had a Muslim majority, 90 per cent of whom were Sunni. And Sunnis around the world make up perhaps 85 per cent of all Muslims. For a Russia intent on repositioning itself across a land mass that includes most of the former Soviet Union, Sunni Islamists of the kind now fighting the Assad regime are its principal antagonists.
Iranian sources say they liaise constantly with Moscow, and that while Hizballah’s overall withdrawal from Syria is likely to be completed soon – with the maintenance of the militia’s ‘intelligence’ teams inside Syria – Iran’s support for Damascus will grow rather than wither. They point out that the Taliban recently sent a formal delegation for talks in Tehran and that America will need Iran’s help in withdrawing from Afghanistan. The US, the Iranians say, will not be able to take its armour and equipment out of the country during its continuing war against the Taliban without Iran’s active assistance. One of the sources claimed – not without some mirth -- that the French were forced to leave 50 tanks behind when they left because they did not have Tehran’s help.
It is a sign of the changing historical template in the Middle East that within the framework of old Cold War rivalries between Washington and Moscow, Israel’s security has taken second place to the conflict in Syria. Indeed, Israel’s policies in the region have been knocked askew by the Arab revolutions, leaving its prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, hopelessly adrift amid the historic changes.
Only once over the past two years has Israel fully condemned atrocities committed by the Assad regime, and while it has given medical help to wounded rebels on the Israeli-Syrian border, it fears an Islamist caliphate in Damascus far more than a continuation of Assad’s rule. One former Israel intelligence commander recently described Assad as “Israel’s man in Damascus”. Only days before President Mubarak was overthrown, both Netanyahu and King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia called Washington to ask Obama to save the Egyptian dictator. In vain.
If the Arab world has itself been overwhelmed by the two years of revolutions, none will have suffered from the Syrian war in the long term more than the Palestinians. The land they wish to call their future state has been so populated with Jewish Israeli colonists that it can no longer be either secure or ‘viable’. ‘Peace’ envoy Tony Blair’s attempts to create such a state have been laughable. A future ‘Palestine’ would be a Sunni nation. But today, Washington scarcely mentions the Palestinians.
Another of the region’s supreme ironies is that Hamas, supposedly the ‘super-terrorists’ of Gaza, have abandoned Damascus and now support the Gulf Arabs’ desire to crush Assad. Syrian government forces claim that Hamas has even trained Syrian rebels in the manufacture and use of home-made rockets.
In Arab eyes, Israel’s 2006 war against the Shia Hizballah was an attempt to strike at the heart of Iran. The West’s support for Syrian rebels is a strategic attempt to crush Iran. But Iran is going to take the offensive. Even for the Middle East, these are high stakes. Against this fearful background, the Palestinian tragedy continues."
The Independent on Sunday has learned that a military decision has been taken in Iran – even before last week’s presidential election – to send a first contingent of 4,000 Iranian Revolutionary Guards to Syria to support President Bashar al-Assad’s forces against the largely Sunni rebellion that has cost almost 100,000 lives in just over two years. Iran is now fully committed to preserving Assad’s regime, according to pro-Iranian sources which have been deeply involved in the Islamic Republic’s security, even to the extent of proposing to open up a new ‘Syrian’ front on the Golan Heights against Israel......
America’s alliance now includes the wealthiest states of the Arab Gulf, the vast Sunni territories between Egypt and Morocco, as well as Turkey and the fragile British-created monarchy in Jordan. King Abdullah of Jordan – flooded, like so many neighbouring nations, by hundreds of thousands of Syrian refugees – may also now find himself at the fulcrum of the Syrian battle. Up to 3,000 American ‘advisers’ are now believed to be in Jordan, and the creation of a southern Syria ‘no-fly zone’ – opposed by Syrian-controlled anti-aircraft batteries – will turn a crisis into a ‘hot’ war. So much for America’s ‘friends’.
Its enemies include the Lebanese Hizballah, the Alawite Shiite regime in Damascus and, of course, Iran. And Iraq, a largely Shiite nation which America ‘liberated’ from Saddam Hussein’s Sunni minority in the hope of balancing the Shiite power of Iran, has – against all US predictions – itself now largely fallen under Tehran’s influence and power. Iraqi Shiites as well as Hizballah members, have both fought alongside Assad’s forces.
Washington’s excuse for its new Middle East adventure – that it must arm Assad’s enemies because the Damascus regime has used sarin gas against them – convinces no-one in the Middle East. Final proof of the use of gas by either side in Syria remains almost as nebulous as President George W. Bush’s claim that Saddam’s Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction.
For the real reason why America has thrown its military power behind Syria’s Sunni rebels is because those same rebels are now losing their war against Assad. The Damascus regime’s victory this month in the central Syrian town of Qusayr, at the cost of Hizballah lives as well as those of government forces, has thrown the Syrian revolution into turmoil, threatening to humiliate American and EU demands for Assad to abandon power. Arab dictators are supposed to be deposed – unless they are the friendly kings or emirs of the Gulf – not to be sustained. Yet Russia has given its total support to Assad, three times vetoing UN Security Council resolutions that might have allowed the West to intervene directly in the civil war.
In the Middle East, there is cynical disbelief at the American contention that it can distribute arms – almost certainly including anti-aircraft missiles – only to secular Sunni rebel forces in Syria represented by the so-called Free Syria Army. The more powerful al-Nusrah Front, allied to al-Qaeda, dominates the battlefield on the rebel side and has been blamed for atrocities including the execution of Syrian government prisoners of war and the murder of a 14-year old boy for blasphemy. They will be able to take new American weapons from their Free Syria Army comrades with little effort.
From now on, therefore, every suicide bombing in Damascus - every war crime committed by the rebels - will be regarded in the region as Washington’s responsibility. The very Sunni-Wahabi Islamists who killed thousands of Americans on 11th September, 2011 – who are America’s greatest enemies as well as Russia’s – are going to be proxy allies of the Obama administration. This terrible irony can only be exacerbated by Russian President Vladimir Putin’s adament refusal to tolerate any form of Sunni extremism. His experience in Chechenya, his anti-Muslim rhetoric – he has made obscene remarks about Muslim extremists in a press conference in Russian – and his belief that Russia’s old ally in Syria is facing the same threat as Moscow fought in Chechenya, plays a far greater part in his policy towards Bashar al-Assad than the continued existence of Russia’s naval port at the Syrian Mediterranean city of Tartous.
For the Russians, of course, the ‘Middle East’ is not in the ‘east’ at all, but to the south of Moscow; and statistics are all-important. The Chechen capital of Grozny is scarcely 500 miles from the Syrian frontier. Fifteen per cent of Russians are Muslim. Six of the Soviet Union’s communist republics had a Muslim majority, 90 per cent of whom were Sunni. And Sunnis around the world make up perhaps 85 per cent of all Muslims. For a Russia intent on repositioning itself across a land mass that includes most of the former Soviet Union, Sunni Islamists of the kind now fighting the Assad regime are its principal antagonists.
Iranian sources say they liaise constantly with Moscow, and that while Hizballah’s overall withdrawal from Syria is likely to be completed soon – with the maintenance of the militia’s ‘intelligence’ teams inside Syria – Iran’s support for Damascus will grow rather than wither. They point out that the Taliban recently sent a formal delegation for talks in Tehran and that America will need Iran’s help in withdrawing from Afghanistan. The US, the Iranians say, will not be able to take its armour and equipment out of the country during its continuing war against the Taliban without Iran’s active assistance. One of the sources claimed – not without some mirth -- that the French were forced to leave 50 tanks behind when they left because they did not have Tehran’s help.
It is a sign of the changing historical template in the Middle East that within the framework of old Cold War rivalries between Washington and Moscow, Israel’s security has taken second place to the conflict in Syria. Indeed, Israel’s policies in the region have been knocked askew by the Arab revolutions, leaving its prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, hopelessly adrift amid the historic changes.
Only once over the past two years has Israel fully condemned atrocities committed by the Assad regime, and while it has given medical help to wounded rebels on the Israeli-Syrian border, it fears an Islamist caliphate in Damascus far more than a continuation of Assad’s rule. One former Israel intelligence commander recently described Assad as “Israel’s man in Damascus”. Only days before President Mubarak was overthrown, both Netanyahu and King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia called Washington to ask Obama to save the Egyptian dictator. In vain.
If the Arab world has itself been overwhelmed by the two years of revolutions, none will have suffered from the Syrian war in the long term more than the Palestinians. The land they wish to call their future state has been so populated with Jewish Israeli colonists that it can no longer be either secure or ‘viable’. ‘Peace’ envoy Tony Blair’s attempts to create such a state have been laughable. A future ‘Palestine’ would be a Sunni nation. But today, Washington scarcely mentions the Palestinians.
Another of the region’s supreme ironies is that Hamas, supposedly the ‘super-terrorists’ of Gaza, have abandoned Damascus and now support the Gulf Arabs’ desire to crush Assad. Syrian government forces claim that Hamas has even trained Syrian rebels in the manufacture and use of home-made rockets.
In Arab eyes, Israel’s 2006 war against the Shia Hizballah was an attempt to strike at the heart of Iran. The West’s support for Syrian rebels is a strategic attempt to crush Iran. But Iran is going to take the offensive. Even for the Middle East, these are high stakes. Against this fearful background, the Palestinian tragedy continues."
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