Wednesday, August 9, 2017

Fake companies in Jordan buy land in occupied West Bank for Jewish settlers

Link

A local official revealed on Tuesday that a network of fake companies based in Jordan has been established in order to buy Palestinian land in the occupied West Bank for Jewish settlers, Al-Araby Al-Jadeed has reported. The settlers, it is claimed, are from the settlement of Amona, which Israel also regarded as illegal; and evacuated earlier this year.
According to the neighbourhood head in Silwad, located to the east of Ramallah, a Jordanian MP is involved. Abdul-Rahman Saleh added that these companies pay high prices for the land, up to 60,000 Jordanian Dinars for each dunam (quarter of an acre), whereas the market rate would be around 2,000 Dinars. Saleh said that some of the Palestinians traveled to Jordan to be paid the money.
After a review of the companies in question, he explained, they denied that they are buying land for Israeli settlers. However, he stressed that they have a history of buying real estate in Jerusalem on behalf of Israelis.
Saleh named these allegedly fake firms as Watan Company, Waheeb Company and the Holy Land Company; they are, he claimed, run by Palestinians and Jordanians, including a Jordanian MP.
The Palestinian official revealed that an attempt by Watan Company to buy land in Silwad was unsuccessful, even though the company offered $500,000 to the owner. He warned that if a single dunam was sold to the Israeli settlers from Amona, this would enable them to go back to the area and rebuild the settlement. He insisted that the evacuated settlers have been trying to return and rebuild it.
#AmonaSettlement
Saleh pointed out that his municipality had cooperated with a number of organisations to spread awareness of the danger of Israeli measures in the area. He is in constant touch with the PA security services on this issue. He also revealed that the Israeli settlers tried to seize some land near the Amona site under the pretext of Israel’s Absentee Law, but failed.

Many Politicians Lie. But Trump Has Elevated the Art of Fabrication.

By SHERYL GAY STOLBERG

The N Y Times

Link

WASHINGTON — Whit Ayres, a Republican political consultant here, likes to tell his clients that there are “three keys to credibility.”
“One, never defend the indefensible,” he says. “Two, never deny the undeniable. And No. 3 is: Never lie.”
Would that politicians took his advice.
Fabrications have long been a part of American politics. Politicians lie to puff themselves up, to burnish their résumés and to cover up misdeeds, including sexual affairs. (See: Bill Clinton.) Sometimes they cite false information for what they believe are justifiable policy reasons. (See: Lyndon Johnson and Vietnam.)
But President Trump, historians and consultants in both political parties agree, appears to have taken what the writer Hannah Arendt once called “the conflict between truth and politics” to an entirely new level.
From his days peddling the false notion that former President Barack Obama was born in Kenya, to his inflated claims about how many people attended his inaugural, to his description just last week of receiving two phone calls — one from the president of Mexico and another from the head of the Boy Scouts — that never happened, Mr. Trump is trafficking in hyperbole, distortion and fabrication on practically a daily basis.
In part, this represents yet another way that Mr. Trump is operating on his own terms, but it also reflects a broader decline in standards of truth for political discourse. A look at politicians over the past half-century makes it clear that lying in office did not begin with Donald J. Trump. Still, the scope of Mr. Trump’s falsehoods raises questions about whether the brakes on straying from the truth and the consequences for politicians’ being caught saying things that just are not true have diminished over time.
One of the first modern presidents to wrestle publicly with a lie was Dwight D. Eisenhower in May 1960, when an American U-2 spy plane was shot down while in Soviet airspace.
The Eisenhower administration lied to the public about the plane and its mission, claiming it was a weather aircraft. But when the Soviets announced that the pilot had been captured alive, Eisenhower reluctantly acknowledged that the plane had been on an intelligence mission — an admission that shook him badly, the historian Doris Kearns Goodwin said.
“He just felt that his credibility was such an important part of his person and character, and to have that undermined by having to tell a lie was one of the deepest regrets of his presidency,” Ms. Goodwin said.
In the short run, Eisenhower was hurt; a summit meeting with the Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev collapsed in acrimony. But the public eventually forgave him, Ms. Goodwin said, because he owned up to his mistake.
In 1974, at the height of the Watergate scandal, President Richard M. Nixon was accused of lying, obstructing justice and misusing the Internal Revenue Service, among other agencies, and resigned rather than face impeachment. Voters, accustomed to being able to trust politicians, were disgusted. In 1976, Jimmy Carter won the presidency after telling the public, “I’ll never lie to you.”
President Clinton was impeached for perjury and obstruction in trying to cover up his affair with an intern, Monica Lewinsky, during legal proceedings. Chris Lehane, a former Clinton adviser, said Mr. Clinton’s second-term agenda suffered during his impeachment, yet paradoxically his favorability ratings remained high — in part, Mr. Lehane said, because “the public distinguished between Clinton the private person and the public person.”
But sometimes it’s easier to tell what’s false than what’s a lie. President George W. Bush faced accusations that he and members of his administration took America to war in Iraq based on false intelligence about whether Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction. Mr. Bush and his team emphasized and in some cases exaggerated elements of the intelligence that bolstered the case while disregarding dissenting information, leading critics to accuse them of lying. Among those who said Mr. Bush had lied was Mr. Trump.
Over the past two decades, institutional changes in American politics have made it easier for politicians to lie. The proliferation of television political talk shows and the rise of the internet have created a fragmented media environment. With no widely acknowledged media gatekeeper, politicians have an easier time distorting the truth.
And in an era of hyper-partisanship, where politicians often are trying to court voters at the extreme ends of the political spectrum, politicians often lie with impunity. Even the use of the word “lie” in politics has changed.
“There was a time not long ago when you could not use the word ‘lie’ in a campaign,” said Anita Dunn, once a communications director to Mr. Obama. “It was thought to be too harsh, and it would backfire. So you had to say they hadn’t been honest, or they didn’t tell the truth, or the facts show something else, and even that was seen as hot rhetoric.”
With the rise of fact-checking websites, politicians are held accountable for their words. In 2013, the website PolitiFact declared that Mr. Obama had uttered the “lie of the year” when he told Americans that if they liked their health care plan they could keep it. (Mr. Trump won “lie of the year” in 2015.)
“I thought it was unfair at the time, and I still think it’s unfair,” Ms. Dunn said, referring to Mr. Obama. Mr. Obama later apologized to people who were forced off their plans “despite assurances from me.”
On the theory that politicians who get caught in lies put their reputations at risk, Brendan Nyhan, a political scientist at Dartmouth College (and contributor to The New York Times’s Upshot) and some colleagues tried to study the effects of Mr. Trump’s misstatements during last year’s presidential campaign.
In a controlled experiment, researchers showed a group of voters a misleading claim by Mr. Trump, while another group saw that claim accompanied by “corrective information” that directly contradicted what Mr. Trump had said. The group that viewed the corrections believed the new information, but seeing it did not change how they viewed Mr. Trump.
“We know politicians are risk averse. They try to minimize negative coverage, and that negative coverage could damage their image over time,” Mr. Nyhan said. “But the reputational consequences of making false claims aren’t strong enough. They’re not sufficiently strong to dissuade people from misleading the public.”
Of course, lying to court voters is one thing, and lying to federal prosecutors quite another. When Rod Blagojevich, the former governor of Illinois, was accused of a long list of federal corruption counts related to claims that he tried to sell Mr. Obama’s seat in the United States Senate, he was asked quite directly about lying.
While Mr. Blagojevich was testifying under oath, a prosecutor pressed him on whether he made a habit, as a politician, of lying to the public. They sparred over whether Mr. Blagojevich had fed a misleading story to a local newspaper.
“That was a lie,” the prosecutor, Reid Schar, was quoted as saying.
Mr. Blagojevich refused to fess up. “That was a misdirection play in politics,” he answered.
He was sentenced to a 14-year prison term in 2011.
Joel Sawyer, a Republican strategist in South Carolina, said there were two ways for a politician to deal with deceit.
“One is to never acknowledge it, which seems to have been employed pretty successfully by our current president,” Mr. Sawyer said. “The second is to rip the Band-Aid off and say: ‘I screwed up; here’s why. Give me another chance, and I won’t disappoint you again.’”
Mr. Sawyer worked for a politician — Mark Sanford, then the governor of South Carolina — who took the latter approach. On a June weekend in 2009, Mr. Sanford slipped out of the South Carolina capitol and flew to Buenos Aires to be with his lover, but told his staff that he had gone hiking on the Appalachian Trail. His aides, including Mr. Sawyer, unknowingly passed the lie on to reporters.
Mr. Sanford later apologized profusely. Voters eventually rewarded him; today he serves in Congress.
Many of Mr. Trump’s lies — like the time he boasted that he had made the “all-time record in the history of Time Magazine” for being on its cover so often — are somewhat trivial, and “basically about him polishing his ego,” said John Weaver, a prominent Republican strategist.
That mystifies Bob Ney, a Republican former congressman who spent time in prison for accepting illegal gifts from a lobbyist, Jack Abramoff, and lying to federal investigators about it. “It really baffles me why he has to feel compelled to exaggerate to exonerate himself,” Mr. Ney said.
But other presidential lies, like Mr. Trump’s false claim that millions of undocumented immigrants had cast ballots for his opponent in the 2016 election, are far more substantive, and pose a threat, scholars say, that his administration will build policies around them.
The glaring difference between Mr. Trump and his predecessors is the sheer magnitude of falsehoods and exaggerations; PolitiFact rates just 20 percent of the statements it reviewed as true, and a total of 69 percent either mostly false, false or “Pants on Fire.” That leaves scholars like Ms. Goodwin to wonder whether Mr. Trump, in elevating the art of political fabrication, has forever changed what Americans are willing to tolerate from their leaders.
“What’s different today and what’s scarier today is these lies are pointed out, and there’s evidence that they’re wrong,” she said. “And yet because of the attacks on the media, there are a percentage of people in the country who are willing to say, ‘Maybe he is telling the truth.’”
Correction: August 9, 2017
An article on Monday about presidents who have been caught in lies gave an incorrect date for the height of the Watergate scandal, when President Richard M. Nixon was accused of lying, obstructing justice and finally resigned. It was 1974, not 1972.

Emad Hajjaj's Cartoon

تهديدات نووية

Tuesday, August 8, 2017

أبو ظبي في المقعد الأمامي لقاطرة رجوع القهقرى

جلبير الأشقر


Link

لقد شرحنا مراراً في هذه الزاوية كيف واجهت الانتفاضة العربية الكبرى التي انفجرت عام 2011 سياستين متناقضتين تجسدتا داخل مجلس التعاون الخليجي: سياسة مواكبة «الربيع العربي» واحتوائه من خلال جماعة الإخوان المسلمين ضمن حدود النظام العالمي الليبرالي بقيادة واشنطن (هذا عندما كان منحى واشنطن الرسمي ليبرالياً، أي حتى وصول دونالد ترامب إلى الرئاسة)؛ وسياسة التصدّي للانتفاضة ودفع الأمور إلى الوراء بغية تصليب النظام العربي القمعي القديم، الذي طالما رعته واشنطن بتناقض صارخ مع ادعاءاتها الليبرالية لتوافقه مع مصالحها العظيمة في المنطقة.
وقد انتهجت إمارة قطر السياسة الأولى، سياسة الاحتواء الإصلاحي، بينما كانت المملكة السعودية قاطرة السياسة الثانية، سياسة الردّة. هذا وقد تبيّن في الآونة الأخيرة بصورة متزايدة الوضوح أن إمارة أبو ظبي تجلس في المقعد الأمامي لقاطرة رجوع القهقرى. والحال أن بين سياستي قطر وأبو ظبي تناظراً يكاد يكون تاماً، فبينما ترعى الإمارة الأولى الإخوان المسلمين وتستند سياستها إلى «القوة الناعمة»، قناة «الجزيرة» بالمقام الأول، ترى الثانية في الإخوان المسلمين ألدّ أعدائها وتستند سياستها إلى «القوة الخشنة»، القوات المسلحة بصورة أساسية.
فقد باتت دولة الإمارات صاحبة أعلى نفقات عسكرية لنصيب الفرد في العالم، إذ احتلت المرتبة الرابعة عشرة في الإنفاق العسكري العالمي لعام 2016 وفق معهد ستوكهولم لأبحاث السلام الدولي (سيبري) الذي قدّر مصروفها للعام الماضي بما يناهز 23 مليار دولار، أي ما يزيد عن النفقات العسكرية الإسرائيلية بحوالي الربع. وقبل ما يقارب ثلاث سنوات، نشرت صحيفة «واشنطن بوست» مقالاً عن دور دولة الإمارات العسكري، ذكر في عنوانه اللقب الذي أطلقه جنرال مشاة البحرية (المارينز) المتقاعد آنذاك، جيمس ماتيس، وهو نفسه الذي عينّه دونالد ترامب وزيراً للدفاع في بداية هذا العام. اللقب هو «أسبرطة الصغيرة» نسبة إلى المدينة/الدولة الإغريقية التي اشتهرت بتحوّلها إلى دولة عسكرية توسّعية، قادت القوات الإغريقية جمعاء في حربها ضد الفرس.
وقد تضمّن المقال تصريحات لجنرالات أمريكيين أشادوا بدور الإمارات العسكري ونفقاتها الضخمة (أي مشترياتها للسلاح الأمريكي)، وبالخدمات الجليلة التي تقدمها للقوات الأمريكية من خلال قاعدة الظفرة الجوية وميناء جبل علي. وعن يوسف العتيبة، سفير الإمارات في واشنطن، نقلت الصحيفة الأمريكية قوله مفتخراً «نختلف عن جيراننا»، مع إشارته إلى أن دولته هي الدولة العربية الوحيدة التي شاركت في جميع الحملات العسكرية التي قادتها الولايات المتحدة منذ الحرب على العراق في عام 1991، باستثناء احتلال هذا البلد في عام 2003 الذي لم تشارك فيه أي دولة عربية. وقد ساهمت دولة الإمارات في حملات أفغانستان (من 2001 إلى اليوم) والصومال (1995 ـ 1993) وكوسوفو (1999) وليبيا (2011) وقصف تنظيم داعش (من 2014 حتى الآن). وختم السفير الإماراتي تصريحه بقوله متوجهاً إلى الأمريكيين: «نحن أفضل أصدقائكم في هذا الجزء من العالم».
هذا وقد ولّد حماس الإمارات في سياستها الرجعية إزاء «الربيع العربي» توتراً بينها وإدارة بارك أوباما بالرغم من كل ما سبق ذكره. فقد آثرت إدارة أوباما أن تستفيد من الخيار القطري وعملت على التوفيق بينه والخيار السعودي/الإماراتي، وذلك بالتوفيق في شتى الساحات بين قطبي النظام القديم والمعارضة الإسلامية بزعامة الإخوان، خاصة بعد أن احتدّ الصدام بينهما في عموم المنطقة إثر إطاحة عبد الفتّاح السيسي بمحمد مرسي من رئاسة مصر. فشجّعت إدارة أوباما على تشكيل الائتلاف بين «نداء تونس» و«النهضة»، ودعمت مساعي التسوية في ليبيا برعاية الأمم المتحدة، وعملت على تحقيق تسوية على النسق ذاته في سوريا، كما على إحياء التسوية في اليمن بعد اندلاع الحرب الأهلية فيها.
وقد تعارض سلوك الإمارات مع كافة هذه المحاولات، وفي معظم الحالات بتحالف مع مصر السيسي، يجمعهما هاجس التصدّي للإخوان المسلمين. فتدخّلت الدولتان عسكرياً في ليبيا ولا تزالان، دعماً لقوى النظام القديم الملتفة حول خليفة حفتر. وفي اليمن، عرقلت الإمارات محاولات وزير الخارجية الأمريكي السابق، جون كيري، الرامية إلى وقف القتال، وذلك بدورها الملحوظ في تسعير نار الحرب. بل تقوم أيضاً، وبتعارض مع السياسة السعودية نفسها، بتشجيع الحراك الجنوبي على حساب حكومة عبدربّه منصور هادي المتحالف مع الإخوان المسلمين. وبالطبع، فرحت أبو ظبي لفوز ترامب بالرئاسة الأمريكية ورأت فيه حافزاً على تصعيد سياستها وفرصة لدفع السعودية إلى محاولة خنق قطر بغية القضاء نهائياً على الخيار التوفيقي.
أما المؤدّى المنطقي لتلك السياسة فهو تأييد الإمارات بالتحالف مع مصر لانعطاف في الملف السوري نحو القبول بحكم آل الأسد. وقد نقلت «القدس العربي» قبل يومين تصريحاً لقيادي في المعارضة السورية نوّه بأن وزير الخارجية السعودي «طالب بتغيير بيان الرياض الأول والرؤية بما يتماشى بقبول بشار الأسد في المرحلة الانتقالية (وخوض انتخابات رئاسية) بدون تحديد متى تتم هذه الانتخابات»، لافتاً إلى «أن الإمارات المتحدة هي من تدير الدفة للقضاء على الثورة وهي من قدّمت المقترح».
٭ كاتب وأكاديمي من لبنان

Like it or not, Al Jazeera has become the vanguard of free speech

Repressive governments want to silence Al Jazeera because it reflects the concerns, aspirations and dreams of the Arab street

Jamal Elshayyal

Link

As a war correspondent, I am obliged to routinely undergo what’s known as “Hostile Environment Training”, a course designed to prepare me for how best to survive in violent or life threatening situations.
I remember the first time I attended this course several years ago, as it dawned on me just how dangerous our profession has become.
Al Jazeera’s coverage of Israel’s occupation of Palestine and its wars on Gaza and Lebanon have proven to be a nightmare for the likes of Benjamin Netanyahu
Although I personally never studied journalism at university, my colleagues who did were never taught about surviving kidnappings, or how to identify booby traps or landmines. Regrettably though, this kind of education has now become mandatory for anyone who wants to become a journalist. A stark reminder of the lengths some will go to literally shoot the messenger.
Unfortunately, however, there isn’t any training on how to survive the merciless onslaughts of dictatorships and autocratic regimes; how to persevere despite some of the richest and most powerful governments in the world doing all they can to silence you; there’s no course for that. Instead at Al Jazeera we’ve been forced to figure that out first-hand.
Since our launch more than 20 years ago, we’ve had our bureaus closed in different countries on several occasions. Our offices have been bombed in Afghanistan, Iraq and Gaza, and several of my colleagues have been killed, many others imprisoned.
Finding ourselves in the crossfire of repressive governments is nothing new. Attacks have failed to silence the Arab world’s first independent news network. Instead, they have strengthened our resolve and our belief in our mission – namely providing our audiences with high quality, factual and informative news and representing them with "the opinion and the other opinion".
Their failure to silence us seems to have led certain regimes to pursue other tactics in their bid to muzzle free press in the Middle East, and dare I say in the world as a whole.
This new approach began with Egypt and has since seen Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Jordan and more recently Israel following suit. Rather than using overtly violent methods, these governments have instead tried to present a legitimate facade for their repressive policies.
They are justifying closing down Al Jazeera’s offices and barring our satellite transmission by claiming that the network incites violence and terrorism.

Covering the occupation

Some may be surprised that Israel, the self-proclaimed sole democracy in the Middle East, has decided to join the attack on press freedom and move towards shutting Al Jazeera. They shouldn’t. Al Jazeera’s coverage of Israel’s occupation of Palestine and its wars on Gaza and Lebanon has proven to be a nightmare for the likes of Benjamin Netanyahu and the Israeli political establishment.
Were it not for Al Jazeera, the world may not have known about the 2006 Qana massacre. Israel’s use of white phosphorus on the besieged Gaza Strip may have gone unnoticed, were it not for Al Jazeera English being the only international English language channel present. The 2014 World Cup would have come and gone without the public being made aware of the cold blooded murder of four Palestinian boys by Israeli naval fire as they played football on a Gaza beach.
Despite the counter revolutions succeeding in quashing the Arab Spring, the demand for freedom and greater social justice amongst Arab societies is greater than ever before
More recently, Israel’s attempt to further entrench its illegal occupation of Jerusalem didn’t feature on Egyptian or Emirati news channels. It barely found airtime on leading International outlets - and when it did, the narrative was one of Israel’s never-ending quest for security in the face of innate Palestinian violence, not one of an occupying power that has systematically and intentionally pursued an agenda of ethnic cleansing in Jerusalem in a bid to rid the city of its indigenous Arab population.
On Al Jazeera, however, my colleagues led the way in presenting all the facts through informative news reports. We gave airtime to Israeli officials and pundits like Micky Rosenfeld and others, while also speaking to Palestinian officials from all the different factions.

Fear of an educated public

We provided our audiences with the necessary information, perspectives and context for them to make their own informed decisions. And it is that, an educated public, which Israel and its autocratic allies in Cairo and Abu Dhabi fear the most.
The irony behind Israel’s attack on Al Jazeera is that prior to its launch, there wasn’t a single Arabic language channel that allowed for Israeli officials to appear on its airwaves. It was Al Jazeera that broke that taboo, and we did that because of our belief in one of the most basic yet important tenet of human rights, namely the right to be informed.
Of course, as a news network, we aren’t flawless. There have been times that we’ve made mistakes and instances where individuals have exercised poor judgement.
One of these, for example, include a time when a former employee of Al Jazeera decided to celebrate the birthday of former Hezbollah prisoner Samir Quntar as he hosted him on his talk show. However, our belief is that those who have genuine criticism of our work should present it to us so that we can discuss it and rectify that which needs correcting. That is how progressive democratic societies operate.
The Middle East is currently witnessing one of the most tumultuous periods in recent times. Despite the counter revolutions succeeding in quashing the Arab Spring, the demand for freedom and greater social justice amongst Arab societies is greater than ever before.
The region’s absolute monarchies and dictatorships are well aware of this, and that is why they are waging a war on Al Jazeera. Not because we support any particular group, or oppose them, but because like it or not, we are the manifestation of free press in the Arab world.
We are the main outlet that reflects the concerns, aspirations and dreams of the Arab street; we are the foremost institution that speaks truth to power.
As I have mentioned, there are times that we get things wrong, but when those wanting to shut us down are being led by a country where women aren’t allowed to drive or a state whose policies have been labelled as apartheid by the likes of Desmond Tutu, then I’m pretty confident we’re currently doing things right. 
Photo: An employee working inside the office of Al Jazeera network in Jerusalem 7 August (Reuters)

Jamal Elshayyal is an international award-winning senior correspondent for Al Jazeera English. He joined the channel in 2006 as part of its launch team and served as its first Middle East editor. He covered the 2011 uprisings in Egypt, Libya, Syria and Yemen. He has interviewed several world leaders and has extensive access to major power players in the GCC and the MENA region. 

DNA - 08/08/2017 محور المقاومة والتجارة بالجيش اللبناني

Monday, August 7, 2017

للقصة بقية- إمارات الخوف

لائحة اتهام ضد سارة نتنياهو في 4 ملفات فساد

Sara Netanyahu....

Man, SHE IS DOG UGLY!!



Sorry, Dog!

ما وراء الخبر- تحالف إسرائيلي عربي.. الأسس والتداعيات

AN IMPORTANT VIDEO!

DNA - 07/08/2017 نصرالله يكذِّب إعلامه

What is behind Israel's attempt to ban Al Jazeera?



Does Netanyahu need a smoke screen for his corruption scandal or is there a more sinister reason for banning Al Jazeera?


Mark LeVine 

Mark LeVine is a professor of Middle Eastern History at University of California.

Link

The present attempt by the government of Israel to close down Al Jazeera's offices in Jerusalem reflects a potentially far-reaching shift in the perceived power and role of critical media, not just in the Israeli occupation of Palestine, but across the Arab world and larger Middle East and North Africa.
The move is particularly odd since Al Jazeera and Israel have long had a symbiotic, if often adversarial, relationship. Despite long-standing and often harsh criticism of the Israeli occupation and its policies, Israel has afforded the channel relatively wide latitude in its coverage. There have been repeated grumblings over the years, and threats to close down its bureaus, but it hasn't prevented coverage and commentary by Al Jazeera's staff and contributing writers. 
Al Jazeera's offices - like other media organisations - have been located for years in the same complex as the Government Press Office. Showing up for press credentials from the network has never caused any more trouble than I've experienced when I requested credentials for US news organisations, for example. In fact, it often felt like the relationship with Al Jazeera was a source of pride for Israeli media and press officials, one that reflected the unique set of circumstances that served each side well. 
For Israel, Al Jazeera, particularly the original Arab network, provided the government unprecedented opportunities to speak to Arab citizens across the region, beginning in the 1990s - at the height of the Olso peace process. The fact that Al Jazeera allowed Israeli officials and, through its reports, ordinary citizens to speak unfiltered was an unprecedented opening for Israel to the outside world, an opening worth what it perceived as negative coverage.
On the other hand, Al Jazeera's access to Israeli officials and commentators gave the network a chance to expand on the usual narrow set of viewpoints presented in other Arab networks and to challenge - on the air - the official Israeli narrative. 
So why, after allowing Al Jazeera to operate during some of the most intense violence of the occupation (including the sieges of Nablus and Jenin and the various and increasingly deadly attacks on Gaza), would the Israeli government suddenly feel it's so important to terminate Al Jazeera's presence in Jerusalem? 
Is it to push attention away from the two corruption investigations of Benjamin Netanyahu - a scandal that some media have called "the most serious political crisis" for the Israeli PM? Perhaps Al Jazeera is a convenient scapegoat for Netanyahu's failures and his increasing lack of popularity at home. 
Or perhaps Israel is jumping on the bandwagon of the campaign against Al Jazeera launched by Saudi Arabia and the UAE? 
It could be that Israeli media experts sense that the attacks on Qatar and Al Jazeera by so many other Arab governments are beginning to gain steam in the Arab public sphere, and thus Israel is trying, in its own twisted way, to support them, as a way of gaining favourable coverage in their official media. 
Israeli Communications Minister Ayoub Kara has tried to justify the move by accusing Al Jazeera of causing Israel "to lose the lives of the best of our sons", adding "when we see that all these countries have determined as fact that Al Jazeera is a tool of the Islamic State [group], Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran, and we are the only one who have not determined that, then something ludicrous is happening here." The ludicrousness of the charge that Al Jazeera is enabling the killing of Israeli soldiers is not relevant here; what matters is how Israel is trying to position itself as part of a larger, Arab-led, coalition against terrorism. 
It also could be that the Israeli government has developed such good, and more or less open, relationships with Arab governments across the region that it no longer needs access to Al Jazeera's viewers. Perhaps the Israeli government has decided that it simply can do without communicating with Arab people directly, since both the rise of intense illiberalism, censorship and sectarianism have rendered such policies superfluous, and the changing mood in the Arab and official public spheres mean that many Arabs no longer even care about Israel or the occupation have equally rendered the exposure Al Jazeera afforded Israelis no longer important. 
There is one other possibility, however: That Al Jazeera has become more dangerous than ever. The rise of the Boycott Divestment Sanctions (BDS) movement to global prominence as a mechanism of worldwide resistance to the occupation has occurred, in good measure, because of the constant negative media coverage of Israel's intensifying grip on Palestine. 
Among mainstream or major media outlets, few have been as successful and focused on placing the realities of the occupation before the court of world opinion as Al Jazeera and The Guardian. Thus, the attempt to shut it down now could be the result of a determination that its coverage is, in fact, seriously harming Israel's standing internationally, and, perhaps even more worryingly, that the government plans on engaging in actions in the near future - from another all-out assault on Gaza to the de facto or de jure annexation of significant territory in the West Bank - that it cannot afford to have covered in the critical manner that Al Jazeera would provide. 
Whatever the reasons for the change in policy, the decision to force Al Jazeera from Jerusalem hints at a shift in Israeli strategic calculations that should worry anyone who cares not just about freedom of the press, but about the explosion of yet another Israeli-Palestinian war.
Mark LeVine is a professor of Middle Eastern history at the University of California, Irvine, and a distinguished visiting professor at Lund University.
عباس (يمين) أثناء استقباله عبد الله الثاني في رام الله ظهر اليوم (غيتي)

What Are These Two Assholes Up to Now?

More Selling Out, No Doubt!


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Sunday, August 6, 2017

عن التعايش مع السقوط العربي

خليل العناني
عن التعايش مع السقوط العربي
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لا أمل في نهوض عربي جاد في الأمد المنظور. ولا يبدو أن ثمة مخرجاً يلوح في الأفق للأزمة السياسية التي تعيشها الدولة العربية في حالتها الراهنة، وهي التي تقاوم السقوط باجترار مزيد من مسبباته. حقيقة يؤكدها تداعي الأحداث من المحيط إلى الخليج. ليس بالضرورة أن يكون النهوض جماعياً، في ظل سقوط مشاريع الوحدة والأمة واحدا تلو الآخر، ولكن أيضا لا أمل في نهوض فردي على مستوى الدول والمجتمعات. بل على العكس، فلربما نشهد سقوط دول وتفكّك مجتمعات جديدة خلال الأمد نفسه. وهو سقوط في أغلبه حرّ، أي يحدث بأيدي العرب، ونتيجة قرارت من بيده أمرهم، من دون تقليل من دور العامل الخارجي بالطبع.
وعلى الرغم من أن السقوط العربي، والذي نعني به فشل المشروع السياسي والاجتماعي للدولة العربية "الحديثة"، قد بدأ منذ ولادة هذه الدولة ذاتها، وبفعل تناقضاتها التي بدأت أوائل القرن العشرين، إلا أنه قد انكشف وتعرّى بشكل كبير، خلال العقد الأول من الألفية الثانية. فقد انتهى المشرق العربي كما عرفناه طيلة القرن العشرين، بدءاً بسقوط بغداد عام 2003 بفعل الغزو الأميركي، وبالدعم، أو الصمت، العربي الذي لازمه، مروراً بسقوط غيرها من الحواضر والعواصم العربية التي ظلت تقاوم التغيير والإصلاح عقودا طويلة، فكان السقوط هو البديل الوحيد لمداواة جمودها وعناد من يحكمونها. والآن، يصل السقوط إلى محطة جديدة، وهي المحطة الخليجية التي ظلت متماسكة، بحكم التاريخ والتقاليد والأعراف والروابط القبلية، قرونا، فتدخل دولها في صدام وجودي، تُسل فيه السيوف ضد بعضها بعضا، وتتسابق قياداتها الجديدة باتجاه التقارب والتحالف مع أطراف إقليمية كانت، حتى وقت قريب، تُصنّف في خانة المنافسين والأعداء. بل ويجري الحديث علناً، ومن دون مواربة، عن تغيير أنظمة سياسية بالقوة، وإطاحة عائلات حاكمة، والتنصّل من روابط الدم والقربى. في حين تتأرجح عواصم كبرى، كالقاهرة، بين سقوط حرّ واستبداد خانق يستحضر كل الإرث السلطوي الفرعوني ولكن من دون إنجاز يُذكر. 

لم تصمد هذه الدولة العجوز أمام موجة متعثرة من الربيع العربي، فقاومتها بالقوة العارية المنفلتة من كل قيد ولو شكليا، فكان مصيرها السقوط السياسي والأخلاقي المريع. ولا تزال هذه الدولة تحاول مقاومة الزمن، وإطالة عمرها الافتراضي الذي انتهي، فيزداد معدل سقوطها، وتغرق في أزماتها السياسية. وبينما تفعل ذلك، تستدعي معها كل مسببات سقوطها، من إشاعة الخوف والفوبيا وتغذية الانقسامات الطائفية والمذهبية وافتعال أزمات إقليمية، بغرض القفز إلى الأمام والهروب من استحقاقات الإصلاح والتغيير.
ومن المفارقات أنه بينما تقاوم هذه الدولة سقوطها، فإنها تدفع، ربما من دون أن تدري، إلى الواجهة كل ما يعجّل بهذا السقوط، ويرفع فاتورته. ولمعرفة عواقب عناد هذه الدولة، انظر فقط إلى ما جرى في العراق ويجري الآن في سورية وليبيا واليمن. وهو ما يذكّرنا بالدول الأوروبية أواخر القرن الثامن عشر وأوائل القرن التاسع عشر التي سقطت، ليس بفعل ضعفها وتراجعها العسكري، فقد كانت متطوّرة بمعايير تلك الفترة، وإنما بفعل فشلها في الاستجابة لمطالب الإصلاح والتغيير الداخلية. لا تكترث الدولة العربية باتساع رقعة الرفض لها، خصوصا بين الأجيال الجديدة، ولا تعباً كثيراً بمطالبهم وطموحاتهم باتجاه التغيير. وهي تنطلق في علاقاتها بهم من منطق الوصاية السياسية، والأبوية المصحوبة بجهاز أمني قمعي، لا يتورع عن الفتك والتخلص من كل الشباب المعارضين.
علينا إذا أن نتعايش مع حالة السقوط العربي الراهنة، وأن نجهّز أنفسنا سنوات مقبلة، إن لم تكن عقودا، من الصراع مع هذا النوع من الدول الساقطة أخلاقياً، والفاشلة سياسياً والمتوحشة أمنياً. علينا أن نتعايش، وأن نوّطن أنفسنا مع مآسي الدولة العربية التي تنضح بها كل يوم. وعلى الشباب العربي الذي يؤمن بالتغيير، ويرغب به، أن يقاوم هذه الدولة سلمياً من خلال الوعي بأزماتها والتعرّف على نقاط ضعفها. وأن يلتحم بالمجتمع الذي يمكنه أن يقدّم قوة موازنة لقوة الدولة الباطشة. نقول هذا مع إدراكنا بصعوبة الأوضاع الاقتصادية والاجتماعية والتعليمية ومأساويتها في بلداننا. ومع يقيننا بأن فاتورة التغيير لن تكون سهلة، وأن إنجازه لن يكون سريعاً، لكنه حتماً قادم. وهي معركة بحاجة إلى نفس طويل، وأجيال وعقول جديدة قادرة على حماية (وتحصين) نفسها أمام تغوّل الدولة، وغلقها المجال العام، بما لا يسمح بمتنفس، ولو صغيرا، خوفاً من مطالب التغيير.
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Salman meets al-Sadr: Saudi Arabia in search of an Iraqi Shia nationalist

By seeking to court the leading Shia politician, the Saudi crown prince is stirring up conflict within Iraq’s Shia factions but he could be playing with fire

Madawi Al-Rasheed

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On 30 July Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman welcomed controversial Iraqi Shia leaderMuqtada al-Sadr.
This is not Sadr’s first visit since the 2003 American occupation. He arrived in Riyadh in 2006 at the height of the Iraqi resistance to the occupation and the Iraqi civil war. But the visit was unsuccessful then. It yielded little benefits to either side. Like other aspiring clerics turned politicians, Sadr entered Iraqi politics with his own Jaysh al-Mahdi militia that later changed its name to the Peace Brigades.
Mohammed bin Salman is building on a new strategy to lure the controversial but famous and influential Shia cleric into Riyadh’s orbit
Saudi Arabia grew very frustrated over the Iranian expansion in Iraq after 2003 and found itself constantly backing losing Iraqi horses. From patronising Sunni tribal chiefs in 2005 as part of al-Tawafuq electoral list to backing the Iraqi Sunni-Shia coalitions under Iyad Allawi in 2010, Saudi efforts to find an entry into post-Saddam Iraqi politics led to further frustration amounting to hostility on several occasions.
Saudi relations with Iraq deteriorated so much during Nouri al-Maliki’s premiership with Iraq bluntly accusing Saudi Arabia of sponsoring terrorism and precipitating a sectarian war in Iraq as a result of its Wahhabi ideology and the Saudi jihadis found in Iraq. Only in 2015 did a Saudi ambassador return to Iraq after almost 25 years of absence.  
Sadr’s recent visit to Jeddah is a break from past Saudi practices and strategies. Mohammed bin Salman and his Trump administration backers want to limit Iranian expansion in the Arab world without outright military confrontation with Iran or its various militia that operate in Lebanon, Syria and Iraq. 

An ally against Iran

Consequently bin Salman is building on a new strategy to lure the controversial but famous and influential Shia cleric into Riyadh’s orbit. If he decides not to boycott the 2018 Iraqi elections, Sadr and his Sadrist movement, popular among the poor of Baghdad’s Madinat al-Sadr and the south, will need all the support he can summon against his Shia rivals, for example the Dawa Party and other weaker Iraqi secularists, both appealing to the aspiring Iraqi middle classes.
Sadr’s relations with Iran have always been tense and he never enjoyed the full support of either Iranian officials or the grand ayatollahs of Qum. The first despised his Arabness and erratic politics while the latter resented his unwillingness to endorse the theory of Wilayat al-Faqih, or rule of the jurists, which is at the heart of the establishment of the Islamic republic.
Although he descends from a family of Shia religious scholars, Sadr is not an established theologian and has no high training that would allow him to become an ayatollah one day.
Mohammed bin Salman and his Washington advisers may have reached the conclusion that a Shia-Shia civil war in Iraq is the only way to roll back Iranian influence 
Saudi Arabia is desperate to find an Iraqi Shia Arab nationalist. Mohammed bin Salman is counting on Sadr, who is known for propagating Arabness together with his anchorage in Shiism.  
Sadr is the son of the famous Arab Shia grand ayatollah, Muhammad Sadiq al-Sadr, who was assassinated in 1999. He is the son-in-law of another grand ayatollah, Muhammad Baqir al-Sadr. While the Sadr family has its origins in Lebanon, they had been in Najaf in Iraq for a very long time. They were at the centre of religious learning in the hawza (study circles) of Najaf, which had been the main centre of Shia theologians before Qum in Iran. 
Supporters of Muqtada al-Sadr take part in a silent protest on 17 February, 2017 in central Baghdad (AFP)
Mohammed bin Salman and his Washington advisers may have reached the conclusion that a Shia-Shia civil war in Iraq is the only way to roll back Iranian influence and wean Iraqis off the unprecedented support that Iran had lent the government in its fight against al-Qaeda and later the Islamic state.
With the fall of Mosul, most of the credit has gone to Iran and its sponsored militia on the ground in Iraq. Its role is destined to grow further rather than shrink, unless a new Shia civil war materialises and splits Iraqis along fault lines that had tormented them throughout their history in the 20th century.

Iraqi schizophrenia

The fault lines amount to a form of schizophrenia, as Iraqis have yet to reconcile their Shiism with their Arabism. According to Loulouwa al-Rachid, Iraqi specialist at the Paris Institute of Political Studies, Arabism and Shiism are in Iraqi blood – Saddam Hussein didn't invent this split identity and it will keep dividing the Iraqi body politic.
In the post-1958 revolution era, it had other labels: Arabist vs Iraqist/communists. Today, the outcome of this struggle depends on whom or which region in Iraq controls the post-Baathist state.
Patronising Muqtada al-Sadr is part of a plan to divide the Shia zones of Iraq between those which are allies of Iran and those which resent its takeover of their country in the last 14 years
If it's the deeply tribal and underdeveloped Shia south, Iraq will definitely tilt toward Arabism. There they hate Iran, and memories of the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s are still very strong since their sons were killed by Khomeinists and Iraqi exiles. If the balance tilts toward the Shia Islamist Hizb al-Dawa, the current ruling party, Iraqi politics will cultivate some Iraqi distinctiveness and a sense of superiority vis-a-vis what they call the “badu (Bedouin) of central Arabia and the Gulf”.
Now Saudi Arabia is desperate to see the departure of those who are driven by a strong sense of Iraqi superiority and Shiism such as the successive Iraqi governments that were led by the Dawa party, especially under prime minister Nouri al-Maliki. It seeks to normalise relations with Iraq to pursue the strategy of shrinking Iran’s influence.
In this project, patronising Muqtada al-Sadr is part of a plan to divide the Shia zones of Iraq between those which are allies of Iran and those which resent its takeover of their country in the last 14 years.

Disloyal allies

Will Mohammed bin Salman be successful in precipitating a Shia-Shia split and perhaps a civil war? This all depends on the response of Iran, which has proved itself more resilient and savvy than its Saudi arch-rival. Without the colossal spending on military equipment that would match that of Saudi Arabia, Iran managed to create loyal militia across the region.
Saudi Arabia also creates militias but they seem to be less reliable than those created by Iran. In fact, those Saudi-sponsored militia tend to occasionally challenge Saudi Arabia and bite the hand that feeds them. We still remember how Osama bin Laden and his Afghan Arabs enjoyed the backing of Saudi Arabia in the 1980s, but within a decade they became arch-enemies of the Saudi regime. Iran has sponsored Hezbollah in Lebanon since 1982 and almost four decades later, it is still loyal to Iran.
Saudi Arabia’s rivals can play the same game as the prince and bring the war to the heart of Saudi Arabia as Mohammed bin Salman promised to do to Iran
Mohammed bin Salman’s strategy to reach out to opposition groups in Iraq may echo his bid to support multiple opposition movements to his rivals. After supporting the Iranian Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK) and more recently reaching out to Turkish cleric Fethullah Gulen in Pennsylvania, the crown prince’s strategy may backfire.
His rivals in Iran, Turkey and even Iraq have at their disposal many cards that can seriously destabilise his rule. Turkey can further support Saudi Sunni Islamists, especially the Muslim Brotherhood, while Iran can precipitate a Shia uprising in the Eastern Province. Saudi Arabia’s rivals can play the same game as the prince and bring the war to the heart of Saudi Arabia as Mohammed bin Salman promised to do to Iran.
After Egypt, Syria, Yemen and Qatar, Mohammed bin Salman has turned his attention to Iraq where complex Shia politics and shifting alliances prevail. It is not clear that he understands the consequences of playing with fire. He may be simply following the advice of Washington and its consultants.
If creating fires around Saudi Arabia protects his rule, then Muhammad bin Salman has succeeded. But if the objective is to create a peaceful region with reconciliation rather than war being the strategy of the future, then he has utterly failed.

Madawi Al-Rasheed is a visiting professor at the Middle East Centre at LSE. On Twitter: @MadawiDr

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