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IS THIS GUY (علوش ) FOR REAL??
I HAVE A BRIDGE IN BROOKLYN I WOULD LIKE TO SELL TO HIM!
WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN TO THE LICENSE FOR HIS BEARD THAT THE REGIME HAD ISSUED??
أكد كبير المفاوضين في وفد المعارضة السورية محمد علوش، في تصريح خاص لـ"العربي الجديد"، أن الجدول الزمني المتبقي لرئيس النظام السوري، بشار الأسد، هو أربعة أشهر فقط، حسب ما نصت عليه القرارات الدولية، وهو موعد تشكيل هيئة الحكم الانتقالية كاملة الصلاحيات التنفيذية.
وأضاف علوش، وهو ممثل جيش الإسلام، أن الانتقال السياسي لم يكن خيار النظام بل فرض عليه فرضاً، وهو يحاول بشتى الوسائل التخلص منه، كما فعل في سائر المبادرات والمقترحات الدولية السابقة.
وأشار إلى أن "موقف المعارضة واضح وثابت خلال المفاوضات، وهو تشكيل هيئة حكم انتقالية كاملة الصلاحيات، لا مكان فيها لبشار الأسد ورموزه"، لافتاً إلى أن المعارضة السورية تؤمن بالحل السياسي العادل الذي يلبي أهداف الشعب السوري، وما زالت ملتزمة باتفاق وقف الأعمال العدائية، لكن الطرف الآخر لا يبدو كذلك.
وكان مصدر خاص من داخل المعارضة السورية صرح، لـ"العربي الجديد"، أن وفد النظام عرض على المعارضة السورية عبر الوسيط الدولي ستيفان دي ميستورا أن يقوم بشار الأسد بتعيين ثلاثة نواب له من المعارضة ويمنحهم كامل صلاحياته باستثناء البروتوكولية، مع توسيع الحكومة الحالية وضمها شخصيات من المعارضة.
Saturday, April 16, 2016
Shia leaders in two countries struggle for control over Iraqi state
Iraq’s revered ayatollah Ali Sistani is pitched against Iran’s ayatollah Ali Khamenei in battle for influence
Martin Chulov
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Martin Chulov
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When Iraq’s prime minister, Haider al-Abadi, failed again this week to replace his corrupt cabinet with a new breed of reformists, the impact reverberated far beyond Baghdad.
A hundred miles south, in Najaf, ayatollah Ali Sistani seethed with anger. The 86-year-old cleric, the most revered figure among Iraq’s majority Shia sect, has staked his name on Abadi establishing some form of control over the country’s political class and the powerful presence of its neighbour Iran.
Across the border, in the Iranian shrine city of Qom, the failure was also noted, though not with the same concern. For more than 13 years, Iran has been an essential stakeholder in Baghdad. But in the past three years in particular, it has had more role shaping political outcomes than many of Iraq’s most influential players.
After Abadi’s second capitulation in a fortnight, senior officials close to Sistani say he is fast losing hope that the leader he helped appoint in late 2014 can deliver reforms he believes are essential to the survival of the state of Iraq. Worse still, perhaps nobody else can either.
In the decade-plus since the ruthless order of Saddam Hussein’s dictatorship was overthrown, Iraq is being torn apart by a convergence of crises that many observers say make it all but ungovernable.
Rampant corruption by a political class, appointed on sectarian lines, has seen the country plundered of enormous wealth that record pumping of oil can’t come close to making up for – especially with oil prices 70% lower than the heady highs of three years ago.
Add to that a withering war with Islamic State, which has shredded Iraq’s military, sacked some of its cities, imperilled its borders and exposed the fragility of post-Saddam authority, and there seems little hope that Iraq can secure a sovereign footing.
This concern is central to Sistani’s angst. Najaf has long been his power base, and a centre of gravity for Shia Iraqi nationalists, whom Sistani overwhelmingly leads. Qom, meanwhile, especially since the Islamic Revolution of 1979, has become a symbol of Iran’s theological and political projection.
Since 2003, the two centres of Shia learning have been rival power bases, but never more so than now. Sistani, apolitical throughout his life, now finds himself pitched against Iran’s Shia leader, ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in a tussle to define Iraq’s national character.
“This is something that has underpinned every administration over the last decade or so, but it has become more acute, more pointed since 2010,” said Ali Khedery, a former adviser to US ambassadors to Iraq and military chiefs.
“Sistani is now very aware that the extent of Iranian influence has reached new levels. This is about power and influence. This is about taking control of what remains of the state.”
As Abadi has struggled to impose his will, the leader he replaced in late 2014, Nouri al-Maliki, has been steadily reaccumulating power. The Shia militias, who have been organised under the banner of the Popular Mobilisation Front (PMF), report to him, and he is especially close to Iran.
“He has been set up by Iran like a scarecrow for Abadi,” the former vice-president Iyad Allawi told the Guardian earlier this year. “There is not much that he can do about him.”
The PMF continues to play a dominant role in many of the clashes against Isis across much of Iraq, often having primacy over the Iraqi army. Nearly all of the PMF’s factions are led by men who are proxies of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards.
Moqtada al-Sadr, the leader of one of Iraq’s most dominant Shia factions, is a prominent exception. A cleric who was instrumental in the 2005-08 sectarian war and anti-US insurgency, Sadr has been the most forthright voice in the country to call for political reforms.
Abadi’s latest attempt to appoint a cabinet of technocrats, supposedly at arm’s length from the sectarian quota system that has led to ministries being used as personal fiefdoms, and wealth being hoovered up by a rigid patronage system, came after Sadr set up a protest camp inside Baghdad’s green zone.
Abadi, meanwhile, who Sistani had believed could somehow turn it all around, seems less likely than ever to deliver. Iraq’s political class remains vested in a sectarian system that has enriched it, and Abadi has next to no room to manoeuvre.
“What that means for Sistani is that his command of the street, which has remained unquestioned throughout all this, could be tested for the first time,” said one senior Iraqi official who refused to be named.
“He gave the fatwa to raise the militias in June 2014 and in doing so, he gave Iran cover. He now knows what that meant. It was an invitation for them to take over in many ways. If Abadi stays, it is bad for Sistani and for Iraq, but if he goes, it could be much worse.”
Video: Ali Abunimah on Sanders, Clinton and the Palestinians
By Ali Abunimah
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Today I spoke to Sharmini Peries of The Real News about the robust confrontation over Israel between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton at Thursday night’s Democratic debate.
Watch the video above.
Sanders criticized Israel’s 2014 attack on Gaza as “disproportionate” and leveled other criticisms of Israel and US support for it rarely voiced by American politicians.
“If we are ever going to bring peace to that region which has seen so much hatred and so much war, we are going to have to treat the Palestinian people with respect and dignity,” Sanders said to loud applause.
“There comes a time when if we pursue justice and peace, we are going to have to say that Netanyahu is not right all of the time,” Sanders said, referring to the Israeli prime minister.
“We cannot continue to be one-sided,” Sanders added. “There are two sides to the issue.”
Clinton, meanwhile, deployed debunked talking points to justify Israel’s mass killing in Gaza.
We spoke about the limitations of Sanders’ statements and what the still unprecedented exchange tells us about shifts in US attitudes towards the question of Palestine. We also spoke about the growing support for BDS – boycott, divestment and sanctions.
I also highly recommend my colleague Rania Khalek’s analysis of the Clinton-Sanders debate.
Europe: A Cowardly Giant
Dr Abdel Sattar QassemProfessor of Political studies, Al Najah National University
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Europe’s recent announcement that Jerusalem is the capital of two states to be achieved through negotiations between Palestinian and Israel was a rejection of Sweden’s proposal that there be explicit recognition of “East Jerusalem” as the capital of an independent Palestine. Since 1967 most European countries have expressed their support for establishing a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital or at least they considered East Jerusalem as occupied territory in line with international law, and not the “unified capital” claimed by Israel.
This European decision is completely in proportion to the influence the EU has internationally: small. Despite its physical size, and its economic, military, cultural and social potential, the commissioners in Brussels appear not to want to exploit it to the full, and have real influence around the world. In other words, the EU is lacking the courage to take brave decisions on global issues and has all the characteristics of a cowardly giant. It is opting for cowardly caution, being shy about tackling issues, taking confused steps, and ending up with nothing. There’s no harm about being cautious per se, but why not be courageously so, making careful but steady progress? The need for such courage has never been so clear as it is on the issue of calls for a Palestinian state and what that state would entail in terms of land and, importantly its capital city.
The EU has decided that Jerusalem should be the capital of two states without giving a clear definition of what that means in practice. Does the EU mean East Jerusalem as the Palestinian capital, occupied and annexed in defiance of international law by Israel in 1967? Would that be with or without the illegal settlements that Israel has been building for the past 40+ years? Or do the settlements – colonies, actually – fall under a different heading in negotiations within which options such as dismantling them or swapping their land for other territory outside international law figure prominently? And why does Jerusalem have to be divided anyway? (The original UN partition plan in 1947 envisaged international status for the city)
Whatever is eventually decided, the real cowardly aspect of the EU’s position is that it has introduced the concept of negotiations about two states as the key component of any decision about Jerusalem. What if the negotiations – which with the USA as the “honest broker”, will always tilt towards the Israeli position – fail to reach an agreement about two states? Does that mean that the Palestinians will lose their right to Jerusalem and Israel’s illegal annexation will be rewarded with permanent occupation? The finger of blame for this possibility should not be pointed at the Israelis alone; Palestinian negotiators post-Oslo have preferred to seek solutions outside the texts of international resolutions such as, for example, the issue of Palestinian refugees, even though UN Resolution 194 calls on Israel to facilitate immediately the return of all Palestinian refugees. The same is true with the right of self-determination which was not even mentioned in the Oslo accords. In such clear-cut cases, what is there to negotiate? How much, or how little, is Israel prepared to agree to abide by the will of the international community perhaps? For by taking UN Resolutions out of the “final status” negotiations you immediately consign the UN itself to history. Maybe that’s Israel’s intention; Israelis refer to the staff of the UN Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) as “Unwanted Nobodies”.
It is clear that the EU looked for an amendment to the Swedish initiative in order not to anger Israel too much. The reaction of the Israeli government confirmed that, despite angry reactions from some right-wing Israeli politicians. The reality is that the EU was not expected to take a strong decision which they would have to defend; their history in addressing the Palestinian and other global issues demonstrates that ably.
Israel was created by Europe, to solve a European problem; its Jewish communities who were the focus of rampant anti-Semitism across the continent. In fact, it is true to say that the whole map of the modern Middle East was created by European powers, notably the British and the French, with the Sykes-Picot Agreement of 1916. Intended to be a “bastion of European civilisation in a sea of barbarism”, Israel was planned and executed while Britain had the League of Nations Mandate to prepare the Palestinian people for statehood, all the while allowing Jews to migrate to Palestine and obtain land there. Even during the final few years of the Ottoman Empire, pressure was brought to bear on Constantinople by several European countries to increase the number of Jewish immigrants to Palestine, which was then a province of the Ottomans.
Britain’s record in Mandate Palestine is poor, to say the least; Jews were allowed to be armed and trained to fight, while the Palestinians were disarmed. Thus post-World War Two, the Zionists had a ready-made army to fight, ironically, against the British and then the Palestinians. Europeans supported Israel against the Arabs, they backed it in the 1948 war and supplied it with large quantities of weapons, and asked it to participate in the Suez War in 1956. European technology, particularly from France, supplied nuclear know-how to Israel, masterminded the theft of heavy water and gunboats, and it supplied Israel with sophisticated weapons used against the Arabs in 1967. Europe’s record as a pro-Israel entity is long, and only the very naive would think that the EU could go against type and take a meaningful stand against Israel.
While the EU claims to support the establishment of a Palestinian state, to-date no one has defined such a state to us. Supporting a connected and viable Palestinian state without full independence and self-determination suggests that Europeans are not in favour of a truncated state separated by barriers and Israeli checkpoints, but the concept of “viable” is undetermined with no basis in international law. Viability does not, however, equate with sovereignty in the Israeli version of the future.
This stress on viability is one way to avoid discussion about a truly independent state with sovereignty, control of its borders, a fee economic system, diplomatic representation and, of course, an army to defend itself. The EU and USA avoid talking about these issues and tackle the idea of a Palestinian state as something beyond international law and conventions. A“viable” state acceptable to Brussels and Washington could, for example, mean that other countries provide for this state financially as long as it is committed to certain conditions, making “independence” conditional on the collective will of others. Or it could mean that the borders with Egypt and Jordan will be open for trade and human traffic subject to European monitoring but based on Israeli conditions. Or it could mean that education system is inspected to ensure adherence to principles and directions dictated by third parties. The idea of viability may be confined to cultural and religious matters as if the Palestinians are merely well-trained beings who have no aspirations beyond eating, drinking and faith. And so on. None of which, of course, makes for a truly independent state.
What the EU and USA really want is a Palestinian state that will act as a security agent for Israel, indebted to others to keep it in check, and with enough financial support to provide a degree of comfort a degree above the poverty line, but not enough to allow its people a modicum of self-respect.
European criticism of Israel has never gone beyond mild rebukes towards, say, economic sanctions on products from Israeli colony-settlements in the West Bank. In fact, even though economic boycotts helped to bring down apartheid South Africa, efforts to instigate boycotts of Israeli goods, academics and cultural activities are always discredited as being “unworkable”. So if the EU is to be taken seriously in its efforts to do something positive for the Palestinians, it should take practical steps, and an economic boycott is a relatively easy place to begin.
One of the ironic aspects of the EU’s position in this whole situation is that the Europeans frequently pick up the bills to pay for the destruction caused by Israeli aggression. In a curious version of the Holocaust effect (Europe sins, Palestinians pay the price), Israel sins and Europe pays the price. The unaccountable party in both cases is Israel. The EU is the second largest donor to the Palestinians, after the Arab states, and provide sufficient funds as per the agreements made with Israel to support the Palestinian Authority and enable it to pay its employees. This is encouraged by both America and Israel.
After Hamas won the democratic elections in Palestine, the EU followed Israel and the USA and agreed to boycott the Hamas-led Palestinian Authority. For the past three years the EU has also supported the illegal siege and blockade of Gaza, again at the instigation of Israel. Like the Americans, like the Israelis, who claim to promote democracy across the region, the Europeans’ attitude totally contradicts democratic principles. The message to the Palestinians is clear: you must only vote for those parties we agree with. The democratic will of the Palestinian people counts for nothing in this hypocritical game.
It is notable that EU opposition to Israeli policies intensifies in direct proportion to the amount of American criticism. When President Obama talked about West Bank settlements, so did the Europeans; when it faded from his agenda, it disappeared from the European’s as well. There are strong indicators which demonstrate that the EU has not yet reached maturity in its foreign policy, for it is still heavily influenced by the USA and Israel. The attitude towards the situation in Gaza is a glaring example. Despite the evidence of a humanitarian catastrophe (and now war crimes), Europe continues to toe the Zionist line that Hamas is a terrorist organisation and illegal collective punishment of the whole population is acceptable in order to “defeat terrorism”. And European politicians apologise for state efforts to bring those accused of war crimes to court. The Oxford dictionary defines a terrorist as “a person who uses violence and intimidation in the pursuit of political aims”, which describes perfectly the Israeli aggression against and blockade of Gaza, aided and abetted by the EU; I rest my case.
Friday, April 15, 2016
A Dirty Joke That Applies to the Syrian "Opposition"
This is my translation of an Arabic joke that was often used to describe Yasser Arafat and his "negotiations" with Israel. Typical of many Arabic jokes, it has to do with sex.
This "tough" guy goes around the neighborhood with his pistol strapped to his side and people thought that he was really tough. One day, another man who was known to be gay, meets the "tough" guy and starts to show interest in him and puts his arm around him.
The neighbors warned the "tough" guy about the gay man and his intention, but the "tough" guy reassured the neighbors by saying, "I have nothing to worry about, with my pistol to my side."
Things progressed a little at a time, until one day the gay man started to undress the "tough" guy. The neighbors yelled to him with their warnings, but he responded, "I have nothing to worry about, with my pistol to my side."
Finally, the gay man started to rape our "tough" guy (his pistol was still strapped to his side). The neighbors could not believe that this was happening. They shouted, "what are you waiting for?" But our "tough" guy again yelled back, "I have nothing to worry about, with my pistol to my side."
Finally the gay man was finished with the sex act and grabbed the "tough" guy's underwear to clean himself. At that point the "tough" guy pulls his pistol and kills his assailant.
This is exactly what the representatives of the Syrian "opposition" have been doing. One concession after another while trying to maintain some bravado and talking tough.
But, you never know when the limit has been reached!
Bernie Sanders: Treating Palestinians with Respect & Dignity Does Not Make Me Anti-Israel
Democracy Now!
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"During Thursday’s debate, Bernie Sanders repeated his assertion that Israel used disproportionate force during its 2014 assault on Gaza that killed nearly 1,500 Palestinian civilians. "If we are ever going to bring peace to that region, which has seen so much hatred and so much war, we are going to have to treat the Palestinian people with respect and dignity," Sanders said. "I believe the United States and the rest of the world have got to work together to help the Palestinian people. That does not make me anti-Israel."
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"During Thursday’s debate, Bernie Sanders repeated his assertion that Israel used disproportionate force during its 2014 assault on Gaza that killed nearly 1,500 Palestinian civilians. "If we are ever going to bring peace to that region, which has seen so much hatred and so much war, we are going to have to treat the Palestinian people with respect and dignity," Sanders said. "I believe the United States and the rest of the world have got to work together to help the Palestinian people. That does not make me anti-Israel."
TRANSCRIPT
This is a rush transcript. Copy may not be in its final form.
JUAN GONZÁLEZ: And I think that—but I was, once again, surprised, as I was during the editorial board meeting, by the courageous stand that Bernie Sanders has taken over—in New York City—over the issue of Israel and Palestine. And he has not backed down at all that he believes that there has to be, from the perspective of the United States, a more fair and evenhanded policy toward the Israeli-Palestinian conflict or to the removal of the settlements that he says are illegal in Palestinian territory. So I’ve been amazed that he has continued to maintain that position, because we know that American politicians are not exactly profiles in courage when it comes to the issue of Israel and Palestine.
AMY GOODMAN: Well, let’s go to that issue last night, a key topic during last night’s debate. This is the moderator Wolf Blitzer.
SEN. BERNIE SANDERS: We had in the Gaza area—not a very large area—some 10,000 civilians who were wounded and some 1,500 who were killed.
AUDIENCE MEMBER: Free Palestine!
SEN. BERNIE SANDERS: Now, if you’re asking me—not just me, but countries all over the world—"Was that a disproportionate attack?" the answer is, I believe it was. And let me say something else. Let me say something else. As somebody who is 100 percent pro-Israel, in the long run—and this is not going to be easy, God only knows—but in the long run, if we are ever going to bring peace to that region, which has seen so much hatred and so much war, we are going to have to treat the Palestinian people with respect and dignity. So, what is not to say—to say that right now in Gaza—right now in Gaza, unemployment is somewhere around 40 percent. You’ve got a lot of that area continues—it hasn’t been rebuilt—decimated, houses decimated, healthcare decimated, schools decimated. I believe the United States and the rest of the world have got to work together to help the Palestinian people. That does not make me anti-Israel. That paves the way, I think—
WOLF BLITZER: Thank you, Senator.
SEN. BERNIE SANDERS: —for an approach that works in the Middle East.
WOLF BLITZER: Thank you. Secretary Clinton, do you agree with Senator Sanders that Israel overreacts to Palestinian attacks, and that in order for there to be peace between Israel and the Palestinians, Israel must, quote, "end its disproportionate responses"?
HILLARY CLINTON: I negotiated the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas in November of 2012. I did it in concert with President Abbas of the Palestinian Authority, based in Ramallah. I did it with the then-Muslim Brotherhood President Morsi, based in Cairo, working closely with Prime Minister Netanyahu and the Israeli Cabinet. I can tell you right now, because I have been there with Israeli officials going back more than 25 years, that they do not seek this kind of attacks. They do not invite rockets raining down on their towns and villages. They do not believe that there should be a constant incitement by Hamas, aided and abetted by Iran, against Israel.
AMY GOODMAN: That was Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders last night in the Brooklyn debate, the last one before the New York primary. On Thursday, the Sanders campaign suspended its new national Jewish outreach coordinator, Simone Zimmerman, two days after she was hired, after revelations that she had posted criticisms about Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel on Facebook.
This is Democracy Now!, democracynow.org, The War and Peace Report. When we come back, we’ll be joined by two other guests here in Los Angeles, who, well, will debate a little of their own: Robert Scheer, the longtime veteran journalist, who is for Bernie Sanders, and Torie Osborn, longtime LGBT activist, who had been for Bernie Sanders but has switched and is for Hillary Clinton. Stay with us."
Sisi's stature melting away
By David Hearst
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Giving land to Saudi Arabia, the death of an Italian student and the country's deteriorating security have tarnished the Egyptian president's reputation domestically and abroad
President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi has been burning the candle at both ends. Having burned his way through Egypt’s largest political party, the Muslim Brotherhood, Sisi went on to give secular liberals who supported his coup against Mohamed Morsi the same treatment: imprisonment, torture or banishment. A significant part of Egypt’s political and intellectual elite is now in exile. He has one source of legitimacy left - the international community. This week, he's been burning his way through that.
Sisi’s week should have started on a high - the visit of the Saudi King Salman. After all the tension between the two countries (at the time of Salman’s succession, the pro-Sisi media declared the then crown prince not fit for office) and after all the reports of money from Saudi drying up, this should have been an occasion to silence all doubters: Salman was investing $22bn in Egypt. The Egyptian presidency described Salman's visit as "crowning the close brotherly ties between the two countries.”
Salman's visit had been much hyped, as indeed Sisi's visit to Britain was in November last year. Sisi expected each to be a breakthrough of its kind. And yet during his visit to London, Cameron cancelled all British flights to Egypt as a result of the downing of a Russian airliner over Sinai, sounding the death knell of the Egyptian tourist industry. A similar disaster awaited Sisi in Salman's visit.
Part of the brotherly deal was to hand the Saudis two uninhabited but strategic islands in the Gulf of Aqaba that had been under Egyptian control for much of the last century and were given back to Egypt by Israel in 1982. Egypt informed Israel in advance of its intention to give the two islands to the Saudis.
The surrender of Egyptian land to its Saudi neighbour did not go down well domestically for a president who has built his image on being Egypt’s new Nasser. The Muslim Brotherhood said no one had the right to abandon the property of the Egyptian people for a fistful of dollars. Ayman Nour said the agreement would be rescinded “once the Egyptian people became free”. The secular opposition movement April 6 is planning a rare and risky street demonstration on Friday.
Ibrahim Eissa, formerly one of Sisi’s rottweilers, turned on his former master. He said: "Sisi's Egypt is putting itself behind Saudi Arabia, not ahead of it as Nasser and Sadat did, and not at its side as Mubarak did." Ahmed Shafiq said that regardless of the history of the islands, this was a disaster for Egypt. The brotherly visit turned into a nightmare for the Egyptian president.
The surrender of the islands in exchange for important Saudi investment inevitably fed the impression that Sisi was selling Egyptian territory for financial gain. Nour, leader of the Liberal Gahd El Thawra party went further by leaking what he claimed was a Saudi embassy document showing that Saudis had given expensive Rolex watches to the president, speaker of parliament and prime minister, and Tissot watches and analog clocks to each member of parliament. However, the Saudi ambassador to Cairo said the document was a fraud.
The second calamity to befall the Egyptian president was the withdrawal of Italy’s ambassador, after the torture and murder of an Italian student in Cairo. What happened to Cambridge doctoral student Giulio Regeni was no different than the fate that befell thousands of Egyptian victims of the security forces, to whom Sisi has given blanket immunity. According to preliminary coroner reports, his fingernails and toenails had been pulled out; there were cigarette burns around his eyes and feet and numerous cuts on his face. His spine had been broken. The brave student held out for 10 days.
The head of the Giza Investigations Unit, Khaled Shalaby, initially claimed that Regeni had died in a traffic accident and then claimed criminals had murdered him. The difference this time is that Italians were being lied to and there was outrage across Italy.
Matteo Renzi, the Italian prime minister who in an interview with Al Jazeera described Sisi as a great and ambitious leader, has had to do a sharp U-turn, even by the standards of Italian driving. Renzi saw in Sisi an opportunity to bundle together Italy’s regional security, business and foreign policy interests. The Italian oil giant ENI is sitting on the largest gas field in the Mediterranean, off the coast of Egypt. Italy’s largest bank, Banca Intesa, has large interests in Egypt. Italy was an enthusiastic supporter of Sisi as a counter-terrorism fighter not just in Egypt, but in Libya.
The first European country that Sisi visited, has now become the first to withdraw its ambassador. Italy has suddenly found out what it is like to be at the receiving end of gross human rights violations in Egypt. It is asking for EU solidarity in its demand for the truth about Regeni.
On Wednesday, Sisi lashed out against his critics for the second time in a month, blaming everyone but himself for the two public relations disasters. He said Egypt’s achievements were unprecedented in 20 years. He defended his parliament, his intelligence services and hailed the demarcation of maritime boundaries with Saudi Arabia. Egypt, he said, was being undone by “the people of evil who are inside us and within us”. He said the Egyptian people were doing themselves harm by talking about the border agreement.
In a ramble that contradicted itself sentence by sentence, Sisi told Egyptians to shut up about the two islands and to await a full parliamentary debate. This is supposedly the debate that will be conducted impartially by all those members of parliament sporting expensive watches. Sisi struggled on: “In one sentence ... we have not abandoned something that belonged to us ... we simply gave people what was theirs ... Egypt has not abandoned a single atom of sand to others, and given it to the Saudis.”
Sisi blamed the Egyptian media for the international furore over Regeni's death: “It is we, the media people, who do this to ourselves… It is we who created the problem… Bring here all that was published … there are among us and within us evil people who are just sitting doing this kind of work ... we announce a project or a decision and then they cast doubt on it and they accuse the state about it.”
Sisi then addressed the elephant in the room - the man who appointed him defence minister and whom he has put in jail, Mohamed Morsi. He said of Morsi: “I told him the people have chosen you and we shall assist you for the sake of the people and for the sake of the country, not like they are doing, hurting the country and destroying it.”
Emad Shahin, a visiting professor at the School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University said: “Sisi is suffering from the security dilemma. The more you try to build up your security, the more you rely on fear and division, the more you distrust civilian institutions and rely totally on the army, the more insecure you become. It’s like someone who has fire inside his house and he is going on the grass outside in order to make himself safe. In the end the fire will catch him up wherever he tries to hide.”
“People think of him as the general who can provide security and they deliberately sacrifice freedom and uncertainty for his promises. This bet has not paid off. Most of his projects are failing, whether it’s the Suez Canal, or the islands. The problem with the islands was not even maintaining the minimum level of transparency. We woke up and we were told by the government that these islands never belonged to us, when every text book every schoolboy reads says they do.”
Sisi’s reference to the silent and jailed Morsi was an unprompted admission that three years into his rule, Sisi cannot stabilise his country. How many more such desperate speeches will he be forced to make? It is obvious to the Egyptian opposition, secular and religious. It is obvious to Italy. When will it become obvious to the Egyptians themselves?
- David Hearst is editor-in-chief of Middle East Eye. He was chief foreign leader writer of The Guardian, former Associate Foreign Editor, European Editor, Moscow Bureau Chief, European Correspondent, and Ireland Correspondent. He joined The Guardian from The Scotsman, where he was education correspondent.
The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye.
Thursday, April 14, 2016
ملفّات بشار الأسد المرعبة
رأي القدس
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أحد أكثر فصول التقرير إرعاباً هو الذي يحكي عما يسمى «مستشفى 601» وكيف كان «الممرضون» و«الممرضات» يتبارون في تعذيب السجناء بدل تطبيبهم، ويروي شاهد كيف تم ضربه طوال الطريق إلى دورة المياه ليجد هناك كومة جثث محطمة وزرقاء وبعضها ضامرة وبدون عيون، فخرج الشاهد وهو يرجف رعباً.
وفي مشهد لا يمكن أن يحصل إلا في أفلام الرعب يدخل جنديان إلى عنبر المرضى ويسألان من يريد دواء وحين رفع أحدهم يده متحمسا استلّ الجندي سلاحاً حاداً وبدأ بضرب قاعدة جمجمته فاصلا عموده الفقري عن رأسه ثم أمر مريضا آخر بإلقاء الجثة في الحمام. الجندي، كان يطلق على نفسه، تفكّهاً، اسم «عزرائيل».
آخر مستجدات الوضع السوري كانت بدء مفاوضات جنيف للتسوية السياسية، وأيضاً إجراء النظام لما يسمى انتخابات مجلس الشعب في مناطق سيطرته، بالتزامن مع تصريحات متغطرسة للقيادة السورية تقول إن تشكيل سلطة انتقالية «لن يحدث أبداً»، وإن الأسد سيستمر في السلطة طوعاً أو كرهاً، وأخرى لروسيا تبرّر كل ذلك، وهجوم جديد للنظام وحلفائه على حلب.
في مقابل كل ذلك، يتفهّم المتابع طرح المعارضة قبول مشاركتها حكومة لا تضمّ الأسد، بالنظر إلى الدور المركزيّ الذي لعبه الأخير في دفع سوريا إلى المذبحة الشاملة التي تشهدها، ووجود المذكرة القانونية التي وضعتها لجنة المساءلة والعدالة ستكون، لو تم تفعيلها والتركيز عليها، ليس من قبل المعارضة فحسب، بل كذلك من الجهات الداعمة للشعب السوريّ، الطريق القانونيّ الأمثل لملاحقة المسؤول الأول عن التراجيديا السورية، بشار الأسد.
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نشرت مجلة «نيويوركر» الأمريكية في عددها الأخير بحثاً لصحافي تابع عملية معقدة وخطرة جداً للحصول على الملفّات الأكثر خطورة وسرّية التي تثبت ارتباط عمليات التعذيب والقتل الممنهج في سوريا بأعلى مستويات القيادة في نظام بشار الأسد.
يشرح البحث، بالتفصيل، تاريخ عملية تشكيل لجنة العدالة والمساءلة الدولية، وهي جهة تحقيق مستقلة تأسست عام 2012 كرد فعل على الأحداث في سوريا، قامت، خلال السنوات الأربع الماضية بتهريب أكثر من ستمئة ألف وثيقة حكومية خارج سوريا، وقد تعرّض بعض الذين شاركوا في كشف وتهريب هذه الوثائق للقتل او الاعتقال.
حصيلة عمل اللجنة توّج أخيراً بمذكرة قانونية من 400 صفحة تربط التعذيب والقتل الممنهج لعشرات آلاف السوريين بسياسة موثقة كتابياً وافق عليها الرئيس السوري، ويتم تنسيقها بين أجهزته الاستخبارية، وتقدّم، بحسب المجلة، «سجلاً للتعذيب المدعوم من الدولة يكاد لا يصدق في مداه وقسوته».
سرد التقرير التفصيليّ يقدّم عمليّا الأساس النظريّ الذي بنيت عليه المأساة السورية، وهو بالتحديد، موقف الأسد الذي تجسد بخطابه الأول عند انطلاق الأحداث الأولى للاحتجاج والتي اعتبرها «مؤامرة قوى خارجية» مؤكدا أن لا وجود لتسوية أو طريق وسطيّ في التعامل معها.
هذه الرؤية كانت من القسوة والانفصال عن الواقع بحيث فاجأت حتى ضبّاط الأسد الأمنيين، كما يقدّم التقرير مثالاً على ذلك في حالة اللواء جامع جامع، الذين اضطرّوا، بعد أن حاولوا تقديم تصوّر واقعيّ للأحداث كما يرونها، إلى الالتزام بالنظرية «الرئاسية»، والانتقال من المعالجة الأمنية الممكنة للاحتجاجات إلى قمعها بطرق لا يتخيّلها العقل.
بل إن التقرير يكشف أن بعض الضباط والجلادين كانوا مضطرّين لالتزام الحدّ الأقصى من العنف والوحشية لأن القيادة كانت تتوقع منهم الحصول على نتائج وكان هناك عواقب على عدم أدائهم أعمالهم بالوحشية المطلوبة، وكان مطلوباً من رؤساء الفروع الأمنية «موافاة مكتب الأمن القوميّ دورياً بأسماء العناصر المتخاذلين»، الذي انتهى الأمر ببعضهم في الزنازين مع ضحاياهم.
يلفت النظر في التقرير كيف كان الجلادون يزيدون في بشاعة البطش بالعلاقة مع انتماء بعض المعتقلين إلى مناطق ثائرة بعينها، فأحد الشهود يروي كيف وصل الدور في طابور البصم على تقارير الاعتراف لفتى في السابعة عشرة من العمر وحين علم الحراس أنه من داريّا (البلدة المجوّعة حتى الموت حالياً) جلب أحدهم آلة صهر ناريّة وحرق فم الفتى ثم حرق رقبته وظهره بالكامل، لدرجة أن الفتى بدأ يذوب، ولم يلبث أن توفّي متأثرا بعذاباته التي استمرّت يومين.
يشرح البحث، بالتفصيل، تاريخ عملية تشكيل لجنة العدالة والمساءلة الدولية، وهي جهة تحقيق مستقلة تأسست عام 2012 كرد فعل على الأحداث في سوريا، قامت، خلال السنوات الأربع الماضية بتهريب أكثر من ستمئة ألف وثيقة حكومية خارج سوريا، وقد تعرّض بعض الذين شاركوا في كشف وتهريب هذه الوثائق للقتل او الاعتقال.
حصيلة عمل اللجنة توّج أخيراً بمذكرة قانونية من 400 صفحة تربط التعذيب والقتل الممنهج لعشرات آلاف السوريين بسياسة موثقة كتابياً وافق عليها الرئيس السوري، ويتم تنسيقها بين أجهزته الاستخبارية، وتقدّم، بحسب المجلة، «سجلاً للتعذيب المدعوم من الدولة يكاد لا يصدق في مداه وقسوته».
سرد التقرير التفصيليّ يقدّم عمليّا الأساس النظريّ الذي بنيت عليه المأساة السورية، وهو بالتحديد، موقف الأسد الذي تجسد بخطابه الأول عند انطلاق الأحداث الأولى للاحتجاج والتي اعتبرها «مؤامرة قوى خارجية» مؤكدا أن لا وجود لتسوية أو طريق وسطيّ في التعامل معها.
هذه الرؤية كانت من القسوة والانفصال عن الواقع بحيث فاجأت حتى ضبّاط الأسد الأمنيين، كما يقدّم التقرير مثالاً على ذلك في حالة اللواء جامع جامع، الذين اضطرّوا، بعد أن حاولوا تقديم تصوّر واقعيّ للأحداث كما يرونها، إلى الالتزام بالنظرية «الرئاسية»، والانتقال من المعالجة الأمنية الممكنة للاحتجاجات إلى قمعها بطرق لا يتخيّلها العقل.
بل إن التقرير يكشف أن بعض الضباط والجلادين كانوا مضطرّين لالتزام الحدّ الأقصى من العنف والوحشية لأن القيادة كانت تتوقع منهم الحصول على نتائج وكان هناك عواقب على عدم أدائهم أعمالهم بالوحشية المطلوبة، وكان مطلوباً من رؤساء الفروع الأمنية «موافاة مكتب الأمن القوميّ دورياً بأسماء العناصر المتخاذلين»، الذي انتهى الأمر ببعضهم في الزنازين مع ضحاياهم.
يلفت النظر في التقرير كيف كان الجلادون يزيدون في بشاعة البطش بالعلاقة مع انتماء بعض المعتقلين إلى مناطق ثائرة بعينها، فأحد الشهود يروي كيف وصل الدور في طابور البصم على تقارير الاعتراف لفتى في السابعة عشرة من العمر وحين علم الحراس أنه من داريّا (البلدة المجوّعة حتى الموت حالياً) جلب أحدهم آلة صهر ناريّة وحرق فم الفتى ثم حرق رقبته وظهره بالكامل، لدرجة أن الفتى بدأ يذوب، ولم يلبث أن توفّي متأثرا بعذاباته التي استمرّت يومين.
أحد أكثر فصول التقرير إرعاباً هو الذي يحكي عما يسمى «مستشفى 601» وكيف كان «الممرضون» و«الممرضات» يتبارون في تعذيب السجناء بدل تطبيبهم، ويروي شاهد كيف تم ضربه طوال الطريق إلى دورة المياه ليجد هناك كومة جثث محطمة وزرقاء وبعضها ضامرة وبدون عيون، فخرج الشاهد وهو يرجف رعباً.
وفي مشهد لا يمكن أن يحصل إلا في أفلام الرعب يدخل جنديان إلى عنبر المرضى ويسألان من يريد دواء وحين رفع أحدهم يده متحمسا استلّ الجندي سلاحاً حاداً وبدأ بضرب قاعدة جمجمته فاصلا عموده الفقري عن رأسه ثم أمر مريضا آخر بإلقاء الجثة في الحمام. الجندي، كان يطلق على نفسه، تفكّهاً، اسم «عزرائيل».
آخر مستجدات الوضع السوري كانت بدء مفاوضات جنيف للتسوية السياسية، وأيضاً إجراء النظام لما يسمى انتخابات مجلس الشعب في مناطق سيطرته، بالتزامن مع تصريحات متغطرسة للقيادة السورية تقول إن تشكيل سلطة انتقالية «لن يحدث أبداً»، وإن الأسد سيستمر في السلطة طوعاً أو كرهاً، وأخرى لروسيا تبرّر كل ذلك، وهجوم جديد للنظام وحلفائه على حلب.
في مقابل كل ذلك، يتفهّم المتابع طرح المعارضة قبول مشاركتها حكومة لا تضمّ الأسد، بالنظر إلى الدور المركزيّ الذي لعبه الأخير في دفع سوريا إلى المذبحة الشاملة التي تشهدها، ووجود المذكرة القانونية التي وضعتها لجنة المساءلة والعدالة ستكون، لو تم تفعيلها والتركيز عليها، ليس من قبل المعارضة فحسب، بل كذلك من الجهات الداعمة للشعب السوريّ، الطريق القانونيّ الأمثل لملاحقة المسؤول الأول عن التراجيديا السورية، بشار الأسد.
رأي القدس
YOUNG IRAQIS OVERWHELMINGLY CONSIDER U.S. THEIR ENEMY, POLL SAYS
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MORE THAN 90 PERCENT of young people in Iraq consider the United States to be an enemy of their country, according to a new poll.
After years spent justifying the war as a “liberation” of the Iraqi people, the survey casts further doubt on the success of that endeavor.
The poll was conducted by Penn Schoen Berland, a public relations and market research firm co-founded by controversial strategist Mark Penn, and was sponsored by a Dubai-based affiliate of Burson Marsteller, once described as “the PR firm for evil.” Still, the undertaking, as outlined by organizers, sounds ambitious. It included 250 face-to-face interviews in three Iraqi cities, plus another 3,250 interviews in 15 other countries throughout the Arab world, all with men and women ages 18-24 “selected to provide an accurate reflection of each nation’s geographic and socio-economic make-up.” It claims an error rate of plus or minus 1.65 percent.
The survey found that overwhelming majorities of young people in Iraq, Yemen, and the Palestinian Territories consider the U.S. to be an enemy. In Gulf Arab states, on the other hand, perceptions of the United States were far more positive. Roughly 85 percent of those living in the Gulf say that they consider the U.S. to be an ally, with another 66 percent expressing the same view in North Africa.
The results of the poll offer an interesting window into long-term perceptions of the Iraq War by Iraqis themselves. Advocates of the 2003 invasion often justified it by claiming post-Saddam Iraq would be an ally of U.S. interests in the region. In a speech leading up to the war, then-Vice President Dick Cheney cited experts who claimed Iraqis would “erupt in joy” over the invasion, predicting it would result in “strong bonds” created between the two countries. But years later, after hundreds of billions of dollars spent and more than a hundred thousand Iraqis dead, the United States is overwhelmingly considered an enemy by young men and women who were children when the war began.
In Yemen, too, where the U.S. conducted an assassination campaign via drones and special forces, and where for the past year the U.S. has supported bloody Saudi bombings, over 80 percent of respondents described the U.S. as an enemy. These figures are particularly worth noting since the Obama administration has repeatedly cited Yemen as a counterterrorism success story. In recent months, that country has been pummeled by American weapons that have blown up weddings, marketplaces, and rural villages. Far from aiding stability, attacks on the country have in fact helped al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, according to recent reports.
The poll also asked participants to weigh in on a variety of other issues, including the rise of Islamic State, sectarianism, and women’s rights. Participants overwhelmingly rejected ISIS, predicting that it would fail in its goal of remaking the region and would be insupportable even if it didn’t resort to extreme violence. Most worried that sectarianism was increasing in the region and would prove an obstacle to stability. Across both genders, strong majorities said that rulers must do more to promote women’s rights in their countries.
But from an American perspective, the report’s most salient features pertain to anti-Americanism among young Arabs abroad.
“For years, many have argued that Muslims and Arabs, like other humans, don’t appreciate being bombed or occupied,” says Haroon Moghul, a fellow at the Institute for Social Policy and Understanding. “Finally, we have a study to confirm this suspicion.”
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